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Arsenal vs Luton Stats Pack, Bet builder Tips and Predictions

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Arsenal vs Luton

Calendar 3rd April
Football icon kick off 19:30
Football icon Arsenal (-1) Handicap
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There’s not much doubt that Arsenal will win this match, the question is by how many.

The Gunners have won 7 of their last 11 home games by a 2-goal margin or more so it’s not asking too much of them to cover this handicap against a depleted Luton.

Football icon Goal scored in both halves
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Arsenal are unlikely to be held in check for too long but with goal difference a potential factor in the title race they should be looking to add to their advantage in the second half.

Football icon Over 8.5 corners
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Arsenal average nearly 8 corners per match on their own and should rack up a significant number of flag kicks against a desperate Luton defence.

Football icon Luton to commit 9+ fouls
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The Hatters average nearly 12 fouls per game and will come under a lot of pressure. They might sit off Arsenal at times but it should be safe to add the Hatters to commit at least 9 separate offences.

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Fresh from grinding out a 0-0 draw away to Manchester City, the attention for Arsenal turns to what should be a straightforward home fixture vs Luton Town. The Premier League title is not yet in the hands of the Gunners so they will be aiming to apply the maximum possible pressure to Liverpool above them. With a hectic upcoming schedule though, Mikel Arteta is going to have to manage his squad well.

Luton travel here with nothing to lose. They are expected to get beaten heavily but gave Arsenal a massive scare in the reverse fixture when Declan Rice scored right at the death to defeat them 4-3 at Kenilworth Road.

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Arsenal vs Luton PREDICTED LINEUPS

Possible chance for some Arsenal rotation

The Arsenal XI is usually quite straightforward to predict but there is more uncertainty on this occasion. The Gunners have a hectic schedule and this could be an opportunity for the manager to rest and rotate some players. There is certainly a danger that the likes of Bukayo Saka or Gabriel Martinelli are be benched and someone like Leandro Trossard comes into the side. Oleksandr Zinchenko and Takehiro Tomiyasu will also be pushing for a place in the XI.

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Injuries continue to plague The Hatters

Luton have an abundance of injuries and are scraping the barrel at the moment. They suffered yet more issues at the weekend with Alfie Doughty, Reece Burke and Tahith Chong all going off with knocks. The Hatters are already without key players such as Elijah Adebayo, Sambi Lokomba and Chiedozie Ogbene, in addition to several others. They lined up in a 4-3-3 vs Spurs but could switch back to their 3-4-2-1 here. Luton may be forced to start full backs in the middle with Issa Kabore and Daiki Hashioka out of position.

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Arsenal vs Luton TEAM STATS

Gunners defensive numbers highly impressive

Arsenal’s metrics are like a Rolls-Royce of a machine. Their most impressive stat is at the back where their xGA of 0.70 per game is the best in the Premier League. Arsenal did concede three goals against the Hatters in the reverse fixture but it will be difficult for Luton to get on the scoresheet, Arsenal also pack plenty of punching power in the final third averaging 2.41 goals per game. Corners are very high in Arsenal fixtures with cards on the low side.

4 2 2024 ARSENAL betbuilder stats pack TEAM STATS1

Defensive issues remain a huge concern

Luton have endured big defensive problems this season and that is without all of their injury woes. They have a very high xGA of 2.09 per game and they concede close to 20 shots in each match. Luton are on a long goalscoring run and usually have a go. They average 1.43 goals per game. Corners are also high in their fixtures, helped by their more direct style of play.

4 2 2024 LUTON TOWN betbuilder stats pack TEAM STATS1

Arsenal vs Luton SHOTS AND SHOTS ON TARGET

Gabriel might be the safest option

This could be a dangerous match to get involved with individual players, even once the starting XI is known. We can certainly expect the Gunners to fire in plenty of efforts and the entire front three plus midfield should have opportunities. Centre back Gabriel Magalhaes is a terror from set pieces and averages nearly one shot per 90. He should stay on the field for the full match and at 1.22 to have one or more attempts, he might be a safe option.

4 2 2024 ARSENAL betbuilder stats pack SHOOTING1

Hatters duo value to shoot

This will likely be a one-sided contest but Luton do have a knack of scoring goals. They will still get some opportunities even if they are few and far between. Carlton Morris is an interesting candidate and so is Ross Barkley. Both average well over two shots per 90 minutes and can be backed at 1.22 and 1.29 respectively to have a single attempt or more. Morris is dangerous in the final third and Barkley will be on set pieces. Even if the shot flies to row Z, both will probably try their luck at some stage.

4 2 2024 LUTON TOWN betbuilder stats pack SHOOTING1

Arsenal vs Luton GOALS AND ASSISTS Stats

Several Gunners lining up to score

Bukayo Saka is the leading scorer for Arsenal and he also tops their assist charts. He is a dangerous player to get involved with here though due to potentially limited game time. Let’s not forget he got subbed off v Sheffield United at HT so the 1.44 price on offer that he scores or assists might not be the wisest bet. Whoever starts as the striker; Kai Havertz, Gabriel Jesus or Eddie Nketiah must fancy their chances of a goal here and all of them are priced around evens.

4 2 2024 ARSENAL betbuilder stats pack GOALSCORING1

Limited opportunities expected for Luton

Carlton Morris and Ross Barkley are again the standout players for Luton but it might be extremely difficult for the Hatters to get on the scoreboard at the Emirates Stadium. Morris is 5.0 to hit the back of the net and Barkley nearly a 10/1 shot. Opportunities will be limited against this rock solid Arsenal defence though, so only the brave will probably get involved here.

4 2 2024 LUTON TOWN betbuilder stats pack GOALSCORING1

Arsenal CARDS AND FOULS STATS

Hard to find value with squeaky clean Arsenal

Mikel Arteta’s men are the cleanest in the Premier League and obtained the fewest cards of any team (46). They also average less than ten fouls per game so this is probably not the right sort of contest to go looking into the Arsenal fouls markets. Should Kai Havertz start then he can usually be relied on to produce at least a couple of fouls. But at odds of 1.50 he doesn’t make for great appeal.

4 2 2024 ARSENAL betbuilder stats pack CARDS FOR1

Luton are actually the fifth-most fouled team in the Premier League but are unlikely to have much of the ball here. Maybe they could be dangerous from breakaways and the physical nature of Carlton Morris might win a cheap free kick. It is unlikely that the Hatters players present too much of a challenge to the hosts.

4 2 2024 LUTON TOWN betbuilder stats pack CARDS DRAWN1

Luton CARDS AND FOULS STATS

Kabore could come under pressure

The Hatters are the only team in the Premier League yet to pick up a red card this season and have generally kept their discipline well. They average 11.70 fouls per 90 though and should come under considerable pressure here. There might be times, especially in the second half when they get desperate. Issa Kabore could end up playing anywhere in this backline but there’s a good chance he will be out of position. He averages 1.61 fouls per 90 minutes and the 1.73 on offer that he commits two or more fouls could be worth adding to your Luton bet builder.

4 2 2024 LUTON TOWN betbuilder stats pack CARDS FOR1

Arsenal are only mid table for fouls drawn in the Premier League. Opponents will often sit back against them and not engage so freely. A lot will depend on the Arsenal XI and who is on the field at certain times. Bukayo Saka is the usual foul magnet but there is no guarantee he’s involved. With Luton missing key defensive players, Arsenal have the potential to cause them plenty of issues, especially out wide.

4 2 2024 ARSENAL betbuilder stats pack CARDS DRAWN1

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