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Luton vs Man City Stats Pack, Bet Builder Tips and Predictions

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Luton vs Man City

Calendar 27th February
Football icon kick off 20:00
Football icon Over 2.5 Luton corners
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Luton have hit this line in 12/12 home Premier League games this season.

They had 6 corners v Man City earlier in the season and average 7.8 corners per game across their last 5 home league games.

Football icon Rodri 1+ shots on target
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Rodri averages 0.72 shots on target per 90 in the Premier League this season.

He has had a shot on target in 5 of his last 8 league games and had one in the league game between these two sides in December.

Football icon Teden Mengi 1+ fouls
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Mengi committed 3 fouls when these two sides met earlier in the season.

He has committed a foul in 7 of his last 8 league starts for Luton, committing 2+ fouls in 4/8.

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Reigning FA Cup holders Man City continue their defence of the trophy on Tuesday night with a potential banana skin away to Luton. The Hatters last made it to the fifth round of the FA Cup just two years ago, falling 3-2 to Chelsea at Kenilworth Road after being 2-1 up at half-time. A win here would see Luton make the quarter-finals for the first time since 1994, when they made it to the semi-final stage.

City, meanwhile, are aiming to reach the last four for the sixth season in a row. Pep Guardiola’s side won the FA Cup in 2019 and last year en route to completing a historic treble, and they are the bookies’ favourites to win the competition once again.

The two sides have met once already this season, with City recovering from a 1-0 half-time deficit to leave Bedfordshire with all three points as Bernardo Silva and Jack Grealish scored in the second half to secure a 2-1 win.

Our Stats Pack Guide can help you find value in the data ahead of creating a Luton vs Man City bet builder.

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Luton vs Man City Predicted Lineups

Rob Edwards to make a couple of tweaks

There is no shame in a 4-1 defeat to Liverpool, but Edwards will be frustrated given the Reds’ injuries and the fact that his side went in at half-time 1-0 up. Cauley Woodrow is likely to be benched, with Carlton Morris moving into the striker position and Andros Townsend coming into the side to sit just behind Morris. Gabriel Osho may also drop out of the side here with Reece Burke expected to join Amari’i Bell and Teden Mengi in the back three.

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Rotation anticipated from Guardiola

The biggest name likely to miss out from a City perspective is Phil Foden. The Stockport-born forward has now started 15 games in a row for his boyhood club and with big fixtures coming up in the title race and the Champions League, he is likely to get a rest here. Kevin De Bruyne has not started either of the last two games so may be eased back into the side here, whilst Mateo Kovacic and Matheus Nunes are likely to drop to the bench. Expect Jeremy Doku to replace Nunes on the left with De Bruyne taking over from Kovacic centrally.

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Luton vs Man City Team Stats

Potential banker on corners for the hosts

Across 12 Premier League games at Kenilworth Road, Luton have had at least three corners in every single game. The fewest number of corners won by the Hatters was three, against Arsenal, and the remaining 11 games have all seen at least four Hatters’ corners. Their last five home league games have seen Edwards’ side averaging 7.8 corners per game, and the last time these two sides met they took six corners. Luton can be backed to take over 2.5 corners at 1.50, which looks to be a big miss from the bookies.

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Low-scoring City means value on the handicap markets

City are heavy favourites to win the game, but recent results have shown the champions to be grinding wins out rather than blowing teams away. You have to go back to November 4th when City beat Bournemouth 6-1 for the last time they beat a team by more than two goals in the Premier League. That means backing Luton with a +3 handicap (effectively backing Luton to win with a 3-goal headstart) offers nice value at 1.29. City’s last three league games have seen them either draw or win by a single goal, so those seeking higher odds may choose to back Luton with a +2 handicap instead at 1.83.

2 27 2024 MANCHESTER CITY betbuilder stats pack TEAM STATS1

Luton vs Man City Shots and shots on target stats

Townsend getting the shots away

Despite coming off the bench in all of his last four league showings for the Hatters, Andros Townsend has had at least one shot in his last three games, one each in 23 minutes against Sheffield United and Man United respectively, and three in 33 minutes against Liverpool last time out. Despite being likely to start and unafraid to shoot (taking 1.84 shots per 90), Townsend can be backed to take a single shot at 1.44, a very solid price considering his record. He was also one of only four Luton players to have taken a shot in the league game between these two sides back in December.

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Rodri the best value option here

City’s attackers offer little value in the shots markets, but dropping back into the midfield provides some solid options. Rodri has taken at least one shot in his last 16 straight league games for City, and is impressively accurate when shooting, his 0.72 shots on target per 90 is very solid for a player who mainly shoots from outside the box. He took three shots in the league game here, including one shot on target and the Spaniard has had a shot on target in five of his last eight league games. He can backed for a single shot on target here at 1.91.

2 27 2024 MANCHESTER CITY betbuilder stats pack SHOOTING1

Luton vs Man City Goals and Assists Stats

Morris the best option for the Hatters

Despite Luton being winless in four games, Morris has been in very good form since returning to the starting lineup. He has now started the last seven games for the Hatters, accumulating seven goal contributions, including three goals and four assists. The Englishman had two assists against Bolton in the third round of this competition and has five goals and assists in his last five league games. If Luton are to get on the scoresheet here, you would expect Morris to be involved somehow, and he can be backed to score or assist at a very generous price of 3.75 – a very nice option for a longshot bet builder.

2 27 2024 LUTON TOWN betbuilder stats pack GOALSCORING1

Hard to ignore Kevin De Bruyne

Kevin De Bruyne has been in sparkling form, racking up nine goals and assists in eight games since making his return for City in their third round clash with Huddersfield last month. The record becomes all the more impressive in realising that De Bruyne has only started four of those eight games, meaning he has averaged a goal or assist every 41 minutes since returning from injury. Only against Chelsea has De Bruyne failed to directly contribute to a goal when starting a game in that run, and Luton will have their work cut out to keep the Belgian out of the game here. He can be backed to score or assist at 1.67.

2 27 2024 MANCHESTER CITY betbuilder stats pack GOALSCORING1

Luton Cards and Fouls Stats

Teden Mengi in for a long evening

Mengi committed three fouls the last time these sides met, struggling with the pace and technical ability on display from City’s star-studded forward line. The young English centre back has been on a fouling hot streak since that game, now having committed a foul in seven of his last eight league starts. He has committed two or more fouls in four of those eight, but is sitting as high as 1.62 to commit a solitary foul here. Mengi committed four fouls last time out against Liverpool and is likely to find this another tough assignment in going up against the likes of Erling Haaland, Julian Alvarez and De Bruyne.

2 27 2024 LUTON TOWN betbuilder stats pack CARDS FOR1

Rodri’s fouls won consistency

Since Christmas, Rodri has started nine Premier League games for Man City, playing the full 90 minutes in all but one and being fouled in every game bar one. Across this streak of games he has won multiple fouls in four of the nine games, currently averaging 1.67 fouls won per game in this stretch. Across the entire season so far, he has won 1.09 fouls per 90, and is likely to be matched up against Albert Sambi Lokonga, who commits the third-most fouls of any Luton player. Backing Rodri to be fouled at 1.36 looks a great addition to any Luton vs Man City bet builder.

2 27 2024 MANCHESTER CITY betbuilder stats pack CARDS DRAWN1

Man City Cards and Fouls Stats

Solid value on offer for Ruben Dias

Man City’s all-action centre back Ruben Dias is no stranger to getting stuck in. Often found throwing himself at the ball to block or tackle his man, Dias does sometimes get it wrong and commits more fouls than most in sky blue. Across his last five Premier League starts Dias has committed a foul in all five, racking up two against Chelsea and three against Brentford. Luton’s direct play will put pressure on Dias, and Morris’ 1.54 fouls won per 90 suggests Dias will falter at least once. He can be backed to commit 1+ fouls at 1.44, an incredibly solid price considering his record and the way the game is likely to play out.

2 27 2024 MANCHESTER CITY betbuilder stats pack CARDS FOR1

Lokonga to continue fouls won streak

Luton’s Albert Sambi Lokonga has an impressive run building right now, having been fouled at least twice in seven consecutive starts in the Premier League. He has been fouled in 11/11 Premier League starts this season and can be backed to win at least one foul here at 1.29. With his last seven games seeing at least two fouls won, and with Lokonga matched up against City’s top two foulers in Rodri and De Bruyne, there could be great value in backing him to win two fouls again at 2.30.

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Luton vs Man City Key Matchups

Chiedozie Ogbene vs Jeremy Doku

Teden Mengi vs Erling Haaland

Albert Sambi Lokonga vs Rodri

Carlton Morris vs Ruben Dias

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