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12:06 
Villa are set to rotate heavily for this one and Douglas Luiz looks good value for fouls committed.
Across all competitions this season, he’s averaging 1.56 fouls committed P/90 and his record for 2+ when starting is strong.
In his last four starts, he’s committed 2+ fouls in three of them, including games vs Wolves and Chelsea where he managed it inside 62 minutes.
City are also expected to field a changed XI, while the trio of Cherki, Foden and Doku combine for 6.24 fouls won P/90. Luiz will have a busy afternoon ahead of him.
I’m expecting City to dominate here. Villa will no doubt have a hangover from winning the Europa League on Wednesday evening.
That aside, this line has landed in City’s last three home games — registering 8+ corners vs Palace, Brentford and Arsenal. They also average the most corners in the entire league.
Villa, conceded nine corners vs Liverpool in their last league game and will try to be competitive here.
Despite limited minutes, Reijnders ranks fourth in the City squad for shots taken P/90 – averaging 2.60.
He’s also averaging 0.87 shots on target P/90, but what interests me most here is his record when starting.
He’s registered a shot on target in six of his last eight Premier League starts and was unlucky not to test the keeper vs Brentford, where he managed four shots.
Villa have conceded 5+ shots on target in their last six games and, with a heavily rotated side expected, I’m confident Reijnders will test the keeper here.
Man City vs Aston Villa Team News & Current Form
The midweek draw with Bournemouth put an end to the idea of a perfect send off for Pep Guardiola. Despite having gone unbeaten in 15 league games, two draws in Man City’s last four has seen Mikel Arteta’s Arsenal side crowned Champions. Of course, there are both League Cup and FA Cup triumphs in amongst that, but City will be desperate to leave Guardiola with a consolation of sorts on Sunday.
Aston Villa meanwhile will be on cloud nine following their Europa League win on Wednesday night. Form domestically has been patchy, with Villa losing five and winning just three of their last 10 in the Premier League, but a fantastic performance against Freiburg has secured Champions League football for next season.
It’s difficult to suggest what sort of lineup Guardiola will send out on Sunday, but Bernardo Silva and John Stones should start in what is set to be their farewell to the club.
Unai Emery has admitted that it will be difficult to put together a focused XI following Wednesday’s exploits. Boubacar Kamara is the only confirmed absentee heading into the final day of the season.
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