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Manchester City vs Manchester United Stats Pack, Bet Builder Tips and Predictions

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Man City vs Man United

Calendar 3rd March
Football icon kick off 15:30
Football icon Man City Over 6.5 Corners
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City have had 9+ corners in home games v Liverpool, Spurs and Chelsea; United managed just 3 corners in two away games v Liverpool and Arsenal

City had 12 corners in the game at Old Trafford, whilst United had 7

Football icon Phil Foden to have 1+ shots on target
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Foden has had shots on target in 10 of his last 12 starts

Foden had 2 shots on target in the reverse fixture at Old Trafford

Football icon Kevin De Bruyne to assist anytime
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De Bruyne has assisted every 55.3 minutes since returning from injury

He notched 5 assists in 3 games v United last season, and had at least one assist in all 3 derbies in 2023/24

Football icon Rodri to win 1+ fouls
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Rodri has won a foul in 9 of his last 11 starts and averages 1.09 fouls won per 90

He won 2 fouls at Old Trafford earlier this season

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The biggest game of the Premier League weekend by some distance is the clash between Manchester City and Manchester United at the Etihad Stadium.

This fixture last season produced nine goals as two late United consolations somewhat spared their blushes after Erling Haaland and Phil Foden both scored hat-tricks to leave City 6-1 up after 73 minutes.

A similar result here may not surprise too many people with the scale of the injury crisis hitting the United backline, and with United’s good run being stopped in its tracks by Fulham at Old Trafford last weekend, whilst City continue to pick up results, the fear is that this could get ugly.

City may have won the last four contests between these sides, including last season’s FA Cup final, but we all know derbies never seem to go by the form book; United may yet spring a shock despite being 8/1 outsiders for the win.

One thing is for sure though, there’s plenty of value to be found on the bet builder markets, so have a read of our tips and get involved with a Man City v Man United bet builder on Sunday afternoon.

Our Stats Pack Guide can help you find value in the data ahead of creating a Man City vs Man United Bet Builder.

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Man City vs Man United Predicted Lineups

A couple of changes expected from Guardiola

Quite a few changes are anticipated from Guardiola from the XI which faced Luton on Tuesday. Kyle Walker is likely to lose his spot, with Manuel Akanji playing right centre-back, Ruben Dias coming into the side in the middle and John Stones playing his hybrid centre-back/defensive-midfield role. In the forward line, Julian Alvarez will likely come in for Matheus Nunes, meaning Foden will have to shift to the left-wing, taking the place of the injured Jack Grealish. Mateo Kovacic is also likely to be benched to allow Rodri to reprise his number 6 role.

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Limited options for Ten Hag

United’s performances have not been great lately, but any capacity for Ten Hag to change things is extremely limited. The only change expected here is Scott McTominay dropping back to the bench with Kobbie Mainoo expected to partner Casemiro in midfield. United have just one fit full back in Diogo Dalot, so Sofyan Amrabat is likely to start at left-back, and with Maguire and Martinez out, Jonny Evans is United’s only other senior centre-back option.

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Man City vs Man United Team Stats

City the corner kings

No side has taken more Premier League corners than Man City, who average 7.69 per game. United are also high on the corner totals, averaging 6.46 per game, however they have had just three corners across their two away games against City’s title rivals Arsenal and Liverpool. City have hit double digit corners in five of their last nine at home, and never less than six corners in any of these nine games. They have had nine against Liverpool, 10 v Spurs and 12 against Chelsea, so backing City to win the on the corner handicap markets with a -4 handicap at 1.91 looks to offer great value.

Team Stats

Expect goals here

Manchester derbies have been goalfests recently, not least the last two home derbies for City. The last two games between these sides at the Etihad have seen a combined 14 goals, a ridiculous average of seven per game. All of the last five derbies have seen at least three goals, and the line is unsurprisingly low for this one with City’s fully fit attack facing a heavily weakened United backline. Over 2.5 goals can be backed at 1.33, a solid jumping off point for any Man City v Man United bet builder.

Team Stats 1

Man City vs Man United Shots and shots on target stats

Phil Foden to continue his hot streak against United

Foden has now scored in both of his last two starts against United, bagging three in the derby at the Etihad last season and getting on the scoresheet at Old Trafford in November. He had two shots on target in that game at Old Trafford and arrives here having had at least one shot on target in 10 of his last 12 games. He has also had two or more shots on target in five of his last six City starts, a feat he can be backed to repeat here at 2.88. However we recommend backing the in-form Foden for one shot on target at a very nice price of 1.40.

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Rashford the way to go for United shots

Since being dropped from the side after a minor disciplinary issue, Marcus Rashford has been in good form, and though he has not scored or assisted in five games his confidence has been unaffected, still shooting at a high rate. Rashford has had shots on target in eight of his last 10 starts, including three games in which he has had multiple shots on target. United’s chances are likely to be few and far between but Rashford has punished City on the counter many times before and can be backed at 1.83 to have a shot on target here, great value considering his record.

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Man City vs Man United Goals and Assists Stats

Kevin De Bruyne’s ridiculous form showing no signs of slowing

After completing 90 minutes against Chelsea without a goal or an assist, normal service was quickly resumed midweek as De Bruyne set up Haaland for four of his five goals on the night. That makes it 14 goal contributions in 10 games since his return from injury, despite starting just half of those 10 games. All this means De Bruyne is averaging a goal or an assist every 42.5 minutes in 2024, a ridiculous rate. He also bagged five assists in three games between the sides last season, so backing him for an assist at 1.83 looks a great play, whilst he can also be backed on the goal and assist market at 1.53.

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Great value on Bruno Fernandes

Bruno loves a derby goal, having bagged in the FA Cup final last season along with two other goals and an assist against City. Considering the lopsided record of derbies during his time at United, this is a solid record, and he has every chance of contributing to a goal here considering City’s poor defensive record this season. Bruno has a goal and three assists in his last seven starts for United, so is in good form overall, and his price of 3.75 to score or assist is simply way too high for a player highly likely to be involved in anything United may create here, making it a very appealing longshot option.

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Man City Cards and Fouls Stats

De Bruyne a solid option here

City foul less than any other Premier League side by a distance, committing just 216 fouls this season, with second-placed Fulham miles off them with 253. Despite this low foul rate there is still value to be found in this market, not least with Kevin De Bruyne. The City man has committed 1.35 fouls per 90 this season, committing a foul in three of his last four starts for the Blues. De Bruyne is always committed in the challenge, even more so since returning from injury and backing him to commit a foul for the fourth time in five starts at 1.57 looks like a very nice option.

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Look at Kobbie Mainoo to win fouls

Of the five fouls committed by City in the reverse fixture, three came against players in central areas, namely Bruno Fernandes, Mason Mount and Sofyan Amrabat. That is likely to be the case again here, with City’s toughest tacklers also operating in those spaces. The best option therefore is Kobbie Mainoo. The 18-year-old draws 0.76 fouls per 90 and has been fouled in four of his last six starts for United. Up against Rodri and Kevin De Bruyne, City’s two highest foulers per 90, backing him to win at least one foul at 1.57 offers great value.

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Man United Cards and Fouls Stats

Casemiro the foul king

Since missing three months through injury, Casemiro has picked up where he left off on the fouls front. He did not play in the reverse fixture but his replacement Sofyan Amrabat committed two fouls, and with Casemiro averaging 1.71 fouls per 90, he looks a prime candidate for fouls here. He has committed a foul in nine of his last 10 starts for club and country, racking up two or more fouls in five of these 10. Casemiro can be backed to commit two or more fouls at 1.67, a solid price considering his record and the tough assignment ahead here.

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Rodri the best bet for fouls won

Rodri is the second-most fouled City player expected to start here, winning 1.09 fouls per 90, a total only surpassed by Phil Foden. Controlling the play in the middle, United will be keen to jump on Rodri any chance they get, but the Spaniard is exceptional in tight spaces and more than capable of buying a foul when he sees no options. Rodri has won a foul in nine of his last 11 starts for City and won two fouls in the game at Old Trafford earlier in the season. He can be backed to win a foul here at 1.33.

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