Man United vs Fulham Bet Builder Tips, Preview

Fulham have been in impressive form of late, winning 4 of their last 5 in all competitions, including big wins over Newcastle and Nottingham Forest, so we expect them to be in a confident mood as they prepare to face a creaking Man United side.

Rodrigo Muniz has scored 4 goals in his last 5 games despite starting 3 of those 5 on the bench, so we expect he will get the nod here after starting and scoring against Wolves in midweek. The Brazilian has had a shot on target in 4 of his last 5 games, only failing to do so in an 11-minute cameo against Crystal Palace.

He is averaging the most shots on target per 90 of any Fulham player to complete over 500 minutes of Premier League action with 1.53, a decent margin ahead of usual starter, Raul Jimenez’s 1.29.

With Muniz in form and United looking shambolic at the back, conceding 5 goals in 2 games against Leicester and Ipswich in recent weeks, we would expect him to test Onana at least once here.

United’s Diogo Dalot is the first of three foul selections in this Bet Builder. The Portugal international has now fouled in 11 of his last 13 starts for Man United, committing multiple fouls in 6 of these 11 games, including 3 of his last 5.

The wing-back averages 1.41 fouls per 90, the third-highest average of any regular starter for United in the Premier League this season. He featured in the season opening clash with Fulham on this ground, committing 2 fouls.

Marco Silva went with a back-three to match his opponents in Fulham’s last clash with Wolves, and if he does so again here, having lost twice to United this season playing a 4-3-2-1, then Dalot’s matchups are likely to be Andreas Pereira, and Ryan Sessegnon.

Pereira has won 1.15 fouls per 90 in the Premier League, including 3 fouls when Fulham last travelled to Old Trafford, whilst Sessegnon has generally averaged around 0.70 fouls won per 90, and has been fouled in 2 of his 4 starts in cup competitions for the Cottagers this season.

Switching over to the Cottagers for another foul pick, we’re backing Fulham’s big Norwegian, Sander Berge, to commit a foul in this one. Berge has fouled in 6 straight starts for the club, and in 9 of his last 10 games for Fulham in the Premier League.

Averaging 1.29 fouls per 90 in the Premier League, Berge has now fouled twice or more in 4 of his last 6 starts in the Premier League, including 3 fouls in Fulham’s 1-0 loss to United in January, a game-high foul total. Across just those last 6 league starts, Berge has fouled 1.95 times per 90. With metrics like this, it is a surprise to see Berge priced as high as this to foul just once here.

Berge will be up against a United midfield that is likely to contain some combination of Casemiro, Kobbie Mainoo, and Manuel Ugarte, all three of whom draw over 1 foul per 90 in the Premier League (1.52, 1.33, and 1.79 respectively).

Fulham’s Timothy Castagne is another player that offers great value in the fouls markets here, with the Belgian having been on a recent fouling spree. His seasonal average of 0.78 fouls per 90 in the Premier League may be on the lower end of the spectrum, but his numbers have shot up over the last few months.

Prior to the midweek clash with Wolves, Castagne had committed a foul in 7 straight Premier League games, at a rate of 1.27 fouls per 90. That run included Fulham’s 1-0 defeat to Man United at Craven Cottage, where Castagne fouled twice.

Castagne will likely be up against United’s Alejandro Garnacho, who draws 1.70 fouls per 90 in the Premier League this season, and the same man who Castagne was up against when he fouled twice in the last meeting between the two sides. The Argentine has won 12 fouls in his last 8 games for Man United.

In his 8 Premier League starts under Ruben Amorim, playing as an inverted winger rather than an out-and-out wideman, Garnacho has won 14 total fouls, so Castagne is likely to have his hands full here.