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Man City vs Arsenal Stats pack, Bet Builder Tips and predictions

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Man City vs Arsenal

Calendar 31st March
Football icon kick off 16:30

BTTS has landed in 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two sides.

This bet has cashed in 6 of City’s last 9 games in the league, and in 5 of Arsenal’s last 9 league games.

Football icon Over 3.5 Arsenal corners
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Arsenal have had 4+ corners in 26 of their 28 Premier League games this season.

They had 5 corners in the reverse fixture at the Emirates.

Football icon Kai Havertz to have 1+ shot on target
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Havertz has had a shot on target in 6 straight Premier League games for Arsenal.

He had 2 shots on target against similarly strong opposition in Liverpool last month.

Football icon Josko Gvardiol to commit 1+ fouls
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Gvardiol commits 1.04 fouls per 90, and will be tasked with marking Bukayo Saka who wins 1.99 fouls per 90.

He has committed a foul in five straight league starts for Man City, and in 8 of his last 9 league starts.

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Potential Returns £68
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The biggest game of the Premier League weekend may well be the game that decides where the Premier League trophy will end up in May.

This time last season this game was exactly that with Man City putting four goals past Arsenal at the Etihad to all but end their hopes of a first Premier League title since 2004.

Arsenal got their first victory over Man City since 2020 in all competitions and their first in the Premier League since 2015 in the reverse fixture, but they will know going to the Etihad is a different story, having had nine goals put past them in their last two league games there.

With so much riding on this game it is sure to be an intense affair, and one which could go either way. If you’re planning on having a bet on this one, we’ve done all the hard work for you, combing through all the data to find the very best available selections for a Man City v Arsenal bet builder.

You can have a go at £50 in free football bet builders to sort you out for this monumental fixture by creating a Paddy Power account today:

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Man City vs Arsenal predicted lineups

Disastrous international break for City

After finally getting their squad back to full fitness, the international break has seen both Kyle Walker and John Stones go down with injuries. Adding to Pep Guardiola’s worries are late fitness tests looming for both Manuel Akanji and Kevin De Bruyne, though both are expected to play as it stands. Plenty of changes are, therefore, expected for City, with Nathan Ake likely to come in for Walker, and Akanji featuring at right back. Mateo Kovacic and Jeremy Doku are likely to drop out of the side too, with Julian Alvarez and Kevin De Bruyne taking up their dual number 10 roles behind Haaland, meaning Phil Foden will move back to the left flank.

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Just the one change from Arteta

Arsenal, meanwhile, had an uneventful international break, though they do also face a couple of late fitness tests, most notably for Bukayo Saka. Assuming everyone is fit to start, however, they are expected to lineup as they did against Porto in the Champions League second leg, though with Gabriel Martinelli slotting on the left in place of Leandro Trossard.

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Man City vs Arsenal team stats

Expect goals here

City’s leaky defence has been an issue all season, and though they have picked up a few clean sheets lately it seems unlikely they will hold out against Arsenal with a weakened and untested back four. Three of the last four meetings between these sides have seen both sides score, while BTTS has landed in six of City’s last nine games in the Premier League. With Arsenal also seeing both teams score in five of their last nine games.

Team Stats 26

Value to be found on Arsenal corners

The last time these sides met, there were just nine corners between the two sides, with City taking four and Arsenal five. Both sides top the charts for Premier League corners, and though we shouldn’t expect any high tallies here, the line for Arsenal is remarkably low. They have had less than four corners just twice this season, yet they can be backed to have four or more corners here at 1.50. With City having so many injury concerns, and having dominated the reverse fixture, Arsenal should have a possession and territory advantage which should give them plenty of opportunities to hit this line.

Team Stats 27

Man City VS Arsenal SHOTS AND SHOTS ON TARGET stats

Julian Alvarez offers the best value here

Alvarez has not always shone in the unfamiliar midfield role to which he has been relegated to for much of this season, but he has always been a goal threat. The Argentine has hit 1.19 shots on target per 90 in the Premier League, and he was the main threat amongst a toothless City attack in the reverse fixture, being the only player to have more than one shot in the game. He has had a shot on target in seven of his last 10 Man City starts and can be backed to do so again here at 1.50.

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Kai Havertz is the one to watch for Arsenal

Ignore Havertz’s underwhelming shooting numbers for the season, the most relevant numbers all come from the last couple of months where he has been installed as a striker on a regular basis. From averaging under 0.5 shots on target per game, the German has now gone six straight league games with at least one shot on target, hitting two or more on three occasions, including against fellow title rivals Liverpool. He can be backed to have a shot on target again here at 1.83.

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Man City VS Arsenal GOALS AND ASSISTS stats

Kevin De Bruyne loves facing Arsenal

De Bruyne scored and assisted in both league games against Arsenal last season, bagging three goals and two assists across the two games. The Belgian is a man for the big games, and he will be right up for this one. He has either scored or assisted in 10 of the 14 games he has played since his return from injury, only seven of which he started. This is a rare occasion on which De Bruyne is odds against (2.10) to score or assist and those looking for a higher odds bet builder should definitely look to take advantage of this by adding it to their Man City v Arsenal bet builder.

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Great value on Bukayo Saka

Saka is enjoying an excellent season for Arsenal and is perhaps in his best form of the entire season right now. He has scored or assisted in six of his last seven Premier League games, racking up an impressive tally of seven goals and an assist. Saka can be backed to score or assist here at 3.0, a great price for someone in such great form, regardless of the strength of the opponent.

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Man City CARDS AND FOULS stats

Gvardiol looks great for a foul

Josko Gvardiol hasn’t played in the Premier League for Man City since the start of February, and he could not be coming back to a much tougher test than facing Arsenal and Bukayo Saka. The Croatian commits 1.04 fouls per 90, and has committed a foul in each of his last five league starts for City, including in games such as Burnley where he was under much less pressure. Saka wins 1.99 fouls per 90, the most in the Arsenal squad, so backing Gvardiol to commit a foul here at 1.57 looks like exceptional value.

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Jorginho should see plenty of the ball here, and when he does so he is likely to have Rodri breathing down his neck. The Spaniard commits more fouls than any other Man City player, at 1.33 per 90, while Jorginho draws the third-most fouls of any Arsenal player at 1.48 per 90. Jorginho has won a foul in five of his last six league starts for Arsenal, winning two or more in three of his last four, and he can be backed to win at least one here at odds of 1.29.

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Arsenal CARDS AND FOULS stats

Kiwior to keep up his fouling streak

Since coming into the side, Jakub Kiwior has wasted no time in bolstering his fouling stats, now averaging 1.02 fouls per 90. The Polish left back has started Arsenal’s last seven games, committing a foul in all but one of the games he has started. Despite this, he remains undervalued by the bookies, often sitting around evens to commit a foul. He will be up against Bernardo Silva and Julian Alvarez down his flank, and this will be his toughest test to date in an Arsenal shirt, so backing him to commit a foul at 1.73 could prove to be a great play here.

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For a team with so much possession, Man City win surprisingly few fouls. Of the players on the pitch here, Akanji wins the fourth-most with 0.91 per 90. He will be playing right back and stepping up the field into midfield, exposing him to more tackles and potential fouls. Not only this, but Arsenal’s left flank includes Gabriel Martinelli and Jakub Kiwior, both of whom rank amongst the top 5 for fouls per 90 in this Arsenal side (1.02 and 0.93 respectively). Akanji has won fouls in three of his last four starts for City in the Premier League, and at 1.57 to be fouled here, he is certainly worth a punt.

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