A much anticipated FA Cup final takes place at Wembley Stadium this Saturday afternoon. The match has been moved back to its more traditional 3pm kick off slot due to the high risk nature of the fixture. Manchester City are searching for the second leg of a potential treble, whilst Man United could end the campaign with a brace of cup wins in Erik ten Hag’s debut season. The Red Devils would dearly love to win just to stop City from matching their own historical treble from 1999. The stakes are really high here so we can expect some fireworks!
Take a look through this Man City vs Man United stats pack below before you place your bet builder. You’ll find stats for goals, shots, cards and many other metrics to assist you in the betting markets. Take a look at our Stats Pack Guide if you need any additional guidance on how to use the data.
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Man City vs Man United Confirmed lineups
Clean bill of health for Man City
Pep Guardiola has been rotating his team significantly in recent matches after having secured the Premier League title. But now all the big guns are set to return, and it’s just a question of who he prefers in certain positions. Both Jack Grealish and Ruben Dias were reportedly not fit to train last week but are expected back in the starting XI here. The spot at right wing is tough between Bernardo Silva and Riyad Mahrez, with Silva expected to just edge his way in. City are likely to employ a 3-2-4-1 system, but with Guardiola in big finals then anything is possible.
Martial and Antony ruled out of the final
Man United have suffered some recent injuries in the build up to this FA Cup final. Anthony Martial tore his hamstring in the final round of Premier League fixtures and he joins Brazilian winger Antony on the treatment table. Both will miss this match and so will defender Lisandro Martinez who has now been out for a while. United will surely lineup in their familiar 4-2-3-1 system with Luke Shaw returning to his regular left back slot. The manager has a decision to make in attack where it looks like Alejandro Garnacho will play left wing and Marcus Rashford upfront. The possibility of Wout Weghorst can’t be ignored either but he will likely be on the bench.
Man City vs Man United team stats
City dominate the metrics like no other team
The Citizens average a huge 2.47 goals per game and concede just 0.87 in each fixture. They have fantastic xG and xGA metrics. Pep Guardiola’s men dominate nearly all statistics. City average over five shots on target per match and it is noticeable the low number of shots they concede in each game (7.66).
Man City are known for racking up a lot of corners (6.26). Taking them for the most corners, corner handicap or over 4.5 corners into your Man City vs Man United bet builder merits strong consideration. City do not normally concede many corners and in terms of discipline they are very clean. This is an FA Cup Final, but at an average of just 1.18 cards per game they don’t normally test the referee’s book too much.
United have underachieved in front of goal
Man United have a high xG average of 1.78 but have only scored 1.53 goals per game and underachieved in the final third. The Red Devils average 5.42 shots on target which is actually more than Man City! United have conceded 12.58 shots per game and not been as watertight as their opponents.
Corners have been plentiful in their fixtures at 10.60 per match. It is noticeable that they have conceded more corners to their opponents than they’ve gained themselves. United are not always a banker for corners due to their wide players cutting inside. They have been a lot dirtier than City this season racking up 2.11 cards per game. The Red Devils have failed to draw many cards from the opposition (1.32).
Man City vs Man United shots and shots on target stats
Haaland extremely reliable in the shooting markets
Erling Haaland has been a total beast this season and averages close to a couple of shots on target in each game. He can definitely be considered in your Man City bet builder for one or more SOT. He also averages close to four shots per 90 mins and will regularly pepper the target. None of the other projected starters for the Citizens actually average more than one shot on target per 90 mins but guys like De Bruyne, Gundogan and Grealish could be considered for multiple shots.
Garnacho is the wildcard for the Red Devils
Marcus Rashford is a very reliable performer for Man United and should hit the target at least once here. Adding him to your Man United bet builder could be a good idea. If Garnacho starts, then he’s an interesting contender considering he averages nearly 4 shots per 90 mins. However, it would be unlikely he lasts the full 90 mins. For those brave enough, then you could take him for 1 or more SOT.
Man City vs Man United goals and assists stats
De Bruyne to score or assist could be some value
Look no further than Erling Haaland for an anytime scorer in this match. He’s amassed 36 goals and also weighed in with 8 assists. Ilkay Gundogan has been in great form in the second half of the season, whilst Kevin De Bruyne’s 16 assists cannot be ignored. The Belgian playmaker has been impressive in big games recently and could be worth adding to your Man City bet builder to score or assist.
Rashford is the most likely scorer for United
Marcus Rashford has enjoyed a fine year for Man United and leads their scoring charts. He will be a big threat to hit the back of the net here, especially if he plays upfront. The duo of Bruno Fernandes and Jaydon Sancho could be an option in the to score or assist market.
Man City vs Man United passing stats
Dias and Rodri strong passing options for City
It is widely acknowledged that Man City should dominate the ball in this final. They average close to 65% possession and something similar, or even more can’t be ruled out. Sometimes the big problem with City players is the risk they will come off early. With this being such an important match then the likes of Ruben Dias and Rodri can surely be relied upon in the passing markets. Taking either of those or Nathan Ake in your Man City bet builder for 90+ passes is a definite option.
Casemiro might be the only United player to eclipse 50 passes
Man United only average 53.70% possession and nobody makes for much appeal in the passing markets for Erik ten Hag’s men. Luke Shaw averages over 60 passes per 90 mins but half of the season he’s been playing centre back. He will likely have reduced passes in this final on the left hand side. Casemiro is probably the most likely United player to top 50 or more passes due to lasting the whole match and his position on the field.
Man City cards and fouls stats
Rodri the dirtiest of a very clean bunch
City are a clean team and only average 1.18 cards per match. They are facing a United outfit who don’t tend to draw that many cards. According to the stats and averages we can probably expect just one Man City player to go into the book, or maybe two because this is a cup final. At least four players on this list do average over one foul per game though with Rodri and Bernardo Silva standing out as potential offenders.
United have been the least fouled team out of all sides in the Premier League this season (7.8 times per match). They have enough skilful and elusive players mixed with wise experience to win cheap free kicks, yet this doesn’t seem to happen that regularly.
Casemiro and Bruno Fernandes are probably going to give City the most grief due their abrasive and tenacious nature. Midfield battles with the likes of Rodri and Stones should be worth watching. Garnacho is once again the potential joker in the pack due to his high dribbling rate (6.98) and could be a handful.
Man City vs Man United key matchups
Rodri vs Bruno Fernandes
John Stones vs Casemiro
Kyle Walker vs Alejandro Garnacho
Man United Cards and fouls Stats
Casemiro knocks out in knockout matches
Man United average over two cards per game and are significantly more likely offend than Man City. Taking United to have the most cards in this match are a possible option for your Man United bet builder. Casemiro is probably the most likely player to get carded in this match. He also averages over two fouls per 90 mins and must merit strong consideration to include in a bet builder. Elsewhere, both Luke Shaw and Bruno Fernandes could come under pressure because they have difficult matchups.
One really interesting clash involves Jack Grealish vs Aaron Wan-Bissaka. Grealish is one of the most fouled players in the Premier League at 3.42 times per 90 mins but now he faces one of the best 1 on 1 defenders in the world. Wan-Bissaka only produces one foul every 135 mins. City might target the United left hand side as a result, which could give Luke Shaw issues vs Silva or Mahrez. Both De Bruyne and Gundogan will provide a big challenge to the United midfielders.
Man City vs Man United key matchups
Aaron Wan Bissaka vs Jack Grealish
Luke Shaw vs Bernardo Silva
Casemiro vs Kevin De Bruyne
Man City vs Man United Bet Builder tips and Picks of the Pack
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Manchester City vs Manchester United
De Bruyne has 10 goals and 26 assists to his name in all competitions this season. That, incidentally, is his best return for assists since joining the club.
The midfielder has a goal contribution in 9 of his last 13 games for the club, and in games in which he’s played at least 60 minutes, he has a goal or assist in 9 of his last 11.
The real kicker here is De Bruyne’s recent form against United. He has a goal contribution in each of his last 3 meetings with the Red Devils.
0.87 shots on target P/90 in the league, combined with his 1.03 P/90 in the FA Cup.
Fernandes has failed to hit the target just once in his last 12 outings in all competitions, and perhaps most importantly, hit the target at least once in both meetings with City in the league.
Across his knockout matches alone this season, Casemiro has racked up 7 bookings.
That’s 7 of his 15 cards across all competitions this campaign coming in knockout matches.
He also picked up a yellow in the home fixture against Man City in the league, and the EFL Cup Final against Newcastle.
The Brazilian powerhouse is more than capable of a rash and mistimed challenge, or accumulating several fouls to earn himself a booking – averaging 2.03 fouls p/90.
Silva has received the joint top card count for City this season (5).
Silva averages 1.27 fouls P/90 in the league, and his recent numbers are quite frankly staggering.
In his last 15 starts in all competitions, Bernardo Silva has committed at least 1 foul in all of them, and at least 2 in 12 of those games.