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Man City vs Real Madrid Stats Pack, Bet Builder Tips and Predictions

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Man City vs Real Madrid

Calendar 17th April
Football icon kick off 20:00
Football icon Man City to Win
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Man City have won each of their last 3 home games v Real Madrid, 2-1, 4-3 and 4-0, with all 3 games being played since 2020.

BTTS has landed in 6 of 9 CL games for Real Madrid, and in 8 of 9 for Man City.

Real have failed to score just once all season, finding the net in each of their last 29 games in all competitions, while City have scored in 24 of their last 25 games in all competitions.

Football icon Eduardo Camavinga to be fouled 2+ times
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Camavinga is Real Madrid’s most fouled player, averaging 3.55 per 90 this season, and he has won 2+ fouls in 10 straight games where he played over 45 minutes.

He is up against both of Man City’s most foul-happy players, Rodri (1.35 fouls per 90) and De Bruyne (1.31), and won 2 fouls in the first leg last week, as well as winning 4 and 2 fouls in the two legs of last season’s semi-final matchup.

Football icon Jack Grealish to be fouled 3+ times
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Grealish wins 3.63 fouls per 90 this season, and since returning from injury has won 3+ fouls in 3 straight starts for City.

He was fouled 4 times in the first leg, and was fouled 3 and 5 times in the two legs of last year’s semi-final.

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Man City and Real Madrid served up another Champions League classic at the Bernabeu last week, with the two sides trading blows and ultimately sharing the spoils in a 3-3 draw.

Last season City took a draw back to the Etihad before ripping Los Blancos apart 4-0 to secure a spot in the Champions League final, so they will certainly be the happier of the two sides, but the record champions can never be counted out in this competition.

If you’re planning on getting involved with a Man City vs Real Madrid bet builder, we have a range of heavily-researched tips and even our own specially curated bet builder above.

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Man City vs ReaL Madrid Predicted lineups

City back to near full-strength

After resting a few key players at the weekend against Luton, as well as welcoming Ederson back to the side following his injury at Anfield last month, Pep Guardiola is able to put out a side resembling his first-choice XI. John Stones is the main injury concern, having played through an injury in the first leg, but Kevin De Bruyne being fit to start after sickness took him out of the first leg is a big boost for City. Nathan Ake was on the bench at the weekend but Josko Gvardiol’s impressive performances in his absence means Guardiola is unlikely to rush the Dutchman straight back into the side.

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Real’s suspension worries mostly avoided

With four players a card away from suspension heading into the first leg, Carlo Ancelotti will be pleased that only Aurelien Tchouameni is ruled out of this crucial game. The Galacticos rested plenty of their starters at the weekend and should return mostly to the side that started the first leg. Nacho Fernandez is the only expected change from the side that started at the Bernabeu, replacing the suspended Tchouameni at centre back.

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Man City vs Real Madrid team stats

Man City the favourites for good reason

Last season’s 4-0 humiliation is surely unlikely to be repeated, but City’s formidable home record means they are strongly favoured to win this game. City have beaten Real in each of their last three home games against the Spanish giants (2-1, 4-3 and 4-0) and having shown their mettle to weather the storm and secure a valuable draw away from home last week, they will expect to secure the win here. The treble winners can be backed to win at 1.62.

16 04 2024 MANCHESTER CITY betbuilder stats pack TEAM STATS

Real unlikely to be held here

The record champions of this competition are unlikely to go down without a fight and having breached the City defence three times last week, they will be confident they can at least get on the scoresheet here. They have drawn a blank just once all season, way back in November, scoring at least once in each of their last 29 games in all competitions. City meanwhile have failed to score just once in their last 25. Real have seen both teams score in six of their nine Champions League games this season, while City have seen goals at both ends in eight of their nine. All the signs point towards both teams to score landing, and it can be backed at 1.57.

16 04 2024 REAL MADRID betbuilder stats pack TEAM STATS

Man City vs Real Madrid shots and shots on target stats

Kevin De Bruyne to rise to the occasion

De Bruyne’s Champions League final struggles are well known, but he has frequently been City’s best performer in the knockout stages during his time with the club. He has had at least one shot on target in three of his last four games against Real Madrid, and comes into this game in good shooting form, having hit at least one shot on target in four of his last six starts for City, three of which saw him hit two or more shots on target. De Bruyne has taken at least two shots in five of his last six for City, and averages 1.07 shots on target per 90 so far this season. He can be backed to hit a shot on target here at 1.73.

16 04 2024 MANCHESTER CITY betbuilder stats pack SHOOTING

Look to Rodrygo for Real shots on target

Rodrygo scored Real Madrid’s second goal at the Bernabeu and has been in great shape in shooting terms recently. He has hit at least two shots on target in each of his last five games for Los Blancos, and in six of his last seven in all competitions. The Brazilian has loved playing in the Champions League this season, hitting at least one shot on target in eight of Real’s nine games, and with Kyle Walker likely to be occupied with Vinicius Junior, and Josko Gvardiol pushing far upfield for City, he may find space to run into as he did in the first leg, providing him an easy opportunity for another shot on target here. He can be backed to hit one at 1.80.

16 04 2024 REAL MADRID betbuilder stats pack SHOOTING

Man City vs Real Madrid goals and assists stats

Price on Foden to score too good to ignore

Foden lit up the first leg with his stunning strike to make it 2-2, a near carbon copy of his first goal in the Manchester derby at the start of March. He has six goals from outside the area this season, the most of any Premier League player, and this ability to shoot from range may be needed against what could prove a stubborn Real Madrid defence. Foden has scored six goals in his last five games in the Champions League and Premier League, and having bagged four in his last two City starts, backing him to score anytime here at 3.0 is simply too good of a price to pass up in this market.

16 04 2024 MANCHESTER CITY betbuilder stats pack GOALSCORING

Vinicius Junior the best option for Real

Vinicius has a fantastic record against Man City, racking up five goal contributions in his seven games against the Premier League champions, all of which came in the knockout stages. He arrives in fantastic form, having not only set up two goals in the first leg but also having scored or assisted in each of his last five games for Real. Vinicius now has six goals and two assists in his last five starts in all competitions and can be backed to score or assist here at 2.70, a great price for a player that City have historically struggled to deal with.

16 04 2024 REAL MADRID betbuilder stats pack GOALSCORING

Man City cards and fouls stats

Josko Gvardiol offers solid value here

A surprising scorer of City’s third goal in the first leg, not least from outside the box with his weaker foot, Gvardiol is worth targeting here on the fouls markets. He averages 0.95 fouls per 90, the third-highest in this City side, and has committed a foul in three of his last four starts, including one in the first leg. Up against Rodrygo, who showcased his threat in scoring Real’s second goal, and who draws 1.71 fouls per 90, the fifth-most in the Real Madrid squad, Gvardiol looks unlikely to get through 90 minutes without committing at least one foul here, especially when he will be asked to get forward as much as possible. He can be backed to commit a foul at 1.33 here.

16 04 2024 MANCHESTER CITY betbuilder stats pack CARDS FOR

Fouled twice in the first leg, and drawing 3.55 fouls per 90, Eduardo Camavinga is the obvious target in the fouls won markets for the visitors. Despite this, he still offers solid value, as he can be backed to be fouled two or more times at 1.57. The Frenchman has won a foul in 15 of his last 16 club games, a run which dates back to January. Of these 16 games, he has started just 11, but has still won at least two fouls in 12, winning two or more fouls in each of his last 10 starts for Los Blancos in which he played over 45 minutes. Up against Rodri (1.35 fouls per 90) and Kevin De Bruyne (1.31), backing Camavinga to win two fouls here offers fantastic value.

16 04 2024 REAL MADRID betbuilder stats pack CARDS DRAWN

Real Madrid Cards and Fouls Stats

Vinicius still offers great value in the foul market

We backed Vinicius for at least one foul in the first leg and see little reason not to do so again here. The Brazilian committed two fouls at the Bernabeu and has now fouled in nine of his last 10 games for Los Blancos. He also committed at least one foul in both games of last season’s Champions League semi-final between these two sides. With Real Madrid’s haphazard pressing style requiring players to just go after the ball, Vinicius’ pace means he is often asked to close down defenders on his own, and as City’s players are experts at winning fouls when in tight spots, another Vinicius foul (backable at odds of 1.25) seems extremely likely here.

16 04 2024 REAL MADRID betbuilder stats pack CARDS FOR

Grealish showcased the value he brings immediately at the Bernabeu, winning the free kick from which Bernardo Silva opened the scoring in the second minute. Grealish won four fouls in the game in total and has now won two or more fouls in each of his last three starts since returning from injury. He also won two fouls in just 30 minutes off the bench in his first game back against Arsenal and averages 3.63 fouls won per 90 this season. Having won three and five fouls in last season’s semi-final matchup with Real, the Englishman offers very solid value to win two or more fouls at 1.29. Alternatively, you could back our preferred option, which is Grealish to win three or more fouls for the fourth straight game at 1.83.

16 04 2024 MANCHESTER CITY betbuilder stats pack CARDS DRAWN

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