The Cityzens have cruised to top spot and qualification to the knockouts, and have only their unbeaten record to preserve against Sevilla tonight. The visitors have secured third spot and will drop down to the Europa League, so in a dead rubber game for both sides I would expect a few changes. Man City have a title fight to withhold and Sevilla are struggling away in the relegation zone.
I’ve dived deep into the statistical realms to find you all the numbers for their domestic campaigns so far, including xG, goals, shots corners and cards. Hopefully with this article and my Stats Pack Guide you can search for a winning bet builder. I’ve included some of my best picks from this stats pack at the bottom to make use of Betfair’s Bet £5 Get £5 offer on this match.
City sit in second spot only behind Arsenal, and have scored more goals than any other team. Erling Haaland takes most the credit for that and is out tonight with an injury.
The sky blues have conceded less than a goal a game and have dominated every department – goals, shots, corners and even cards.
A woeful campaign so far for Sevilla who sit in 18th spot in La Liga with just 10 points from 12 games. The stats reflect that, struggling to score more than a goal a game and being outshone by most their opponents.
They’ve let their frustrations show, and have racked up a whopping 47 cards already this term.
The obvious missing persons in this lineup are Erling Haaland and Kevin de Bruyne, with the former injured and the latter most likely rested.
Julian Alvarez will deputise while Bernardo Silva may drop into midfield. Predicted lineups have to be taken with a pinch of salt as Pep Guardiola will likely ring the changes, and youngsters Cole Palmer and Rico Lewis could potentially make a Champions League appearance.
For Sevilla, they are likely to set up in a 4-2-3-1 as they did in the 4-0 defeat to City last time out.
Expect changes from that humiliation on both sides, with Rafa Mir, former United youngster Adnan Januzaj, Joan Jordan and Marko Dmitrovic all vying for their places in the XI.
Player Shots and Shots on Target
With the omission of the main man Erling Haaland, the only other players to average over a shot on target per 90 this season are Phil Foden and Julian Alvarez,
Ilkay Gundogan is one to look out for if he starts as he makes box to box runs and averages over 2 shots per 90.
Rafa Mir will hope to start up top tonight, and his lack of minutes slightly skews his shots p/90 figures.
Behind him, Erik Lamela, Suso, and Papu Gomez all try and pop off the shots although they haven’t been hitting the target enough.
Player Goals and Assists
The Nordic Meat Shield has scored 22 goals in 15 appearances in all competitions, and will be missed tonight on the scoresheet.
Phil Foden has been involved in 10 goals in 12 in the league while Bernardo Silva, Ilkay Gundogan, Joao Cancelo and Julian Alvarez have all found the net twice.
Sevilla’s goalscoring has been lacklustre, and they have just 11 goals in 12 La Liga games.
Although they have scored in each of their last 3 Champions League outings. En-Nesyri, Isco and Montiel all scored in the second half against Copenhagen.
Manchester City Cards
Given how much City dominate games, they don’t tend to pick up many cards.
Only Joao Cancelo has picked up more than one this season, and that can be attributed to his attacking pushes up the pitch that can be prone to a counter and a professional foul.
They managed to finish their 4-0 win over Sevilla with no cards, and I wouldn’t expect a flurry in tonight’s dead rubber game.
Something Sevilla have done well in doing this campaign is drawing fouls, and their opponents have also nabbed an average of 3 cards a game.
Isco hits the deck almost four times a game as a result of poor discipline, while Jesus Navas and Ivan Rakitic also get fouled over twice a game.
Match-ups to watch:
Joao Cancelo vs Jesus Navas
Rodri vs Isco
Manuel Akanji vs Rafa Mir
This is a department that I’d keep an eye out in, and with the referee averaging 4 cards a game I’d expect more than in their last meeting.
Isco and Lamela have received 5 bookings so far, and whoever starts will be looking over at the referee on several occasions.
Marcos Acuna at left back is also one to watch up against either Foden or Grealish.
City’s fouls tend to be drawn on the wings, and Jack Grealish, Phil Foden, Joao Cancelo and Bernardo Silva all find themselves drifting out wide.
Match-ups to watch:
Marcos Acuna vs Phil Foden
Isco vs Bernardo Silva
Jesus Navas vs Jack Grealish
My Picks from the Stats Pack
Betfair have got a Bet £5 Get £5 offer for this matchup, so if you’re planning on placing a bet builder here’s some of the picks I scoured from the stats pack above.
Three selections comes in at 9/2 (5.5) so that £5 would return £27.
Manchester City vs Sevilla
Sevilla have averaged 4.50 cards per game in the league. (54 in 12!)
Referee Orel Grinfield averages 4.00 cards per game.
Man City’s opponents average 2.17 cards per game.
Man City average 6.92 corners per game.
Sevilla concede 5.17 corners per game.
Man City took 7 corners at Sevilla.
Phil Foden has 10 goal contributions in 12 games.
Man City have scored 3.08 goals per game in the league.
If you place £5 on a bet builder for this game, you’ll get a free £5 bet builder in your account once the bet has settled. You can join Betfair here and get the Bet 5 Get 5 plus your money back in cash on your first bet up to £20.