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Netherlands vs England Stats Pack, Bet Builder Tips and Predictions

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Netherlands vs England

Calendar 10th July
Football icon kick off 20:00
Football icon Netherlands to commit 13+ fouls
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The Netherlands have been in double figures for fouls in all 3 of their toughest games, v France, Austria and Turkey; against Turkey they committed 16 fouls.

England have won 13+ fouls in 4 of their 5 games at the finals, including winning 19 fouls against both Serbia and Slovakia, and 13 v Switzerland last time out.

Football icon Over 3.5 England corners
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England have averaged 6.33 corners per game in their last 3 games at this Euros, including taking 9 against Slovakia.

Netherlands have conceded 4.4 corners per game at this Euros, allowing 4+ corners in 3 of their last 4 games.

Football icon Kobbie Mainoo to have 1+ shots
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Mainoo has averaged 1.74 shots per 90 for England at the finals, consistently getting into good positions in and around the penalty area.

He has started twice and had 2 shots in both of his starts so far, including against Switzerland which was by far England’s toughest game.

Football icon Kobbie Mainoo to commit 1+ fouls
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Mainoo has fouled 0.87 per 90 for England at the finals, committing 2 fouls and starting only twice in his 4 appearances.

He is up against Simons (1.22 fouls won per 90), who has won a foul in 3 of his last 4 at the finals and Reijnders (0.89), who has won a foul in 4 straight games here.

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Wednesday night sees the second Euro 2024 semi-final between England and the Netherlands.

England squeaked past Switzerland on penalties after Manuel Akanji saw his penalty saved by Jordan Pickford, with England’s five takers all converting. It was a better performance than previously at the tournament, but having been largely unimpressive throughout, that was not particularly hard.

Netherlands, meanwhile, came from a goal down to beat a spirited Turkey side 2-1. That makes it a first international semi-final in 10 years for the Dutch, last reaching the final four at the 2014 World Cup.

You can check out our Stats Pack Guide to take advantage of the data in this article ahead of kick-off.

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Netherlands vs England Predicted Lineups

Ronald Koeman expected to keep the same XI

The Dutch have no suspensions or injuries to deal with, and a good performance against Turkey in the quarter-finals gives Koeman little reason to make any adjustments here. Xavi Simons has played in a variety of positions but looks likely to stay as the number 10 behind Memphis Depay, with Steven Bergwijn the preferred option on the right-wing after plenty of trial and error up to this point. Joey Veerman has not had a look-in since his first half substitution against Austria, so Tijjani Reijnders and Jerdy Schouten will be the holding midfield pair once again.

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Marc Guehi set to return for England

As mentioned above, England were better against Switzerland than they had been in any of the previous games, and so Gareth Southgate is likely to stick with his 3-4-2-1 formation, meaning Bukayo Saka and Kieran Trippier stay in as wing backs. The only likely change is the impressive Marc Guehi returning at centre back after serving his one-game ban in the quarter-finals, with Ezri Konsa certainly unfortunate to miss out after a strong performance in his place.

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Netherlands vs England Team Stats

Fouls offer excellent value for the Dutch

Ronald Koeman’s side have been one of the more consistent sides when it comes to fouls, hitting double figures in each of their three toughest games, against France (13), Austria (10) and Turkey (16). Foul tallies are only likely to increase with the pressure of a semi-final, not least with any threat of suspension now lifted from players who had been carrying bookings to this point. England have won 13 or more fouls in four of their five games at the finals, including 19 fouls won against both Serbia and Slovakia. They should have more possession here and seeing the Netherlands approach a tally like that would not be a surprise. The best value is on offer backing them to commit 13 or more fouls at 1.73.

09 07 2024 NETHERLANDS betbuilder stats pack TEAM STATS

Corners look to be the best bet for England

England have had at least four corners in each of their last three games at this Euros, having failed to clear two corners in either of their opening games. Gareth Southgate’s side have averaged 4.4 corners per game across the finals as a whole, and 6.33 in their last three games, having taken six against Slovenia, nine against Slovakia and four against Switzerland. The Netherlands meanwhile have conceded 4.4 corners per game, shipping four or more corners against France (6), Romania (4) and Turkey (7). Gamestate played a role in the Poland and Austria games failing to hit this line, with both sides protecting a win or a draw for most of the contest and risking less going forward, so it seems likely that England can hit over 3.5 corners here. They can be backed to do so at 1.50.

09 07 2024 ENGLAND betbuilder stats pack TEAM STATS

Netherlands vs England Shots and Shots on Target Stats

Cody Gakpo looks good for a shot on target

Gakpo has been the standout player for the Netherlands at this tournament, racking up three goals and an assist across his five starts, and almost adding a fourth last time out only for it to divert in off a Turkish defender. He has averaged 2.71 shots per 90 and 1.67 shots on target per 90 at this Euros, having a shot on target in all five of his starts at the finals, including one in each of their three toughest games against France, Austria and Turkey. England do not give up many shots on target, but with this record and being available at 1.80 to have a shot on target, Gakpo should be given strong consideration here.

09 07 2024 NETHERLANDS betbuilder stats pack SHOOTING

Nice value on offer for Mainoo to shoot

England’s shot on target numbers have been dreadful all tournament and that seems unlikely to improve in the latter stages of the tournament, so that market is best avoided. One player who does offer great value to have a shot, however, is Kobbie Mainoo. The Man United man has proven a skilled operator around the edge of the box and has been more than happy to pull the trigger when the chance presents itself from a late run into the area. Mainoo has now started two straight games for England, taking two shots in both games. He has averaged 1.74 shots per 90 at this Euros and can be backed to take a single shot at a very tempting price of 1.73.

09 07 2024 ENGLAND betbuilder stats pack SHOOTING

Netherlands vs England Goals and Assists Stats

Memphis Depay unlucky to have so few goal contributions

The Dutch forward already has one goal and an assist to his name at this tournament but the numbers suggest he should have more, with Depay racking up a team-high 0.42 xG (expected goals) per 90. He has also averaged 0.23 xA (expected assists) per 90, giving him a combined total of 3.1 xG and xA for the tournament as a whole. From these numbers, and from Depay’s 3.62 shots per 90, you would expect more goals, and he could well be due here. If he can sharpen up his finishing slightly, there is every chance of getting on the scoresheet, and he is creating a significant number of chances, so backing him at 3.10 to score or assist could be a smart play here.

09 07 2024 NETHERLANDS betbuilder stats pack GOALSCORING

Harry Kane is the best pick here

Though far from his prolific best, Harry Kane is still by far the most likely England player to score on any given occasion. He has a tough matchup with Virgil van Dijk here but he will be happy to be playing against a flat back four for the first time this tournament, which should allow him more room to operate. Kane has a higher combined xG and xA than any other England player, accumulating 2.2 across the course of the tournament, and as the penalty taker, has a solid route to a goal should England win one at any point. He can be backed to score or assist at 2.50, or to score anytime at 2.88.

09 07 2024 ENGLAND betbuilder stats pack GOALSCORING

Netherlands Cards and Fouls Stats

Virgil van Dijk offers the best value here

Liverpool captain van Dijk has been unusually foul-happy at this Euros, mostly through being forced to cover for the huge spaces the Dutch can leave in behind when pushing upfield. Van Dijk has fouled twice or more in four of his five starts at these finals, and at least once in all five games so far. His tournament-high four fouls against Romania demonstrates that gamestate is irrelevant to this pick, whether winning or losing, the centre back is highly likely to foul. He is up against Harry Kane, who has won 1.96 fouls per 90 at this Euros. Van Dijk can be backed to commit one or more fouls at 1.33, or to commit two or more for the fifth time in six games at 2.60.

09 07 2024 NETHERLANDS betbuilder stats pack CARDS FOR

Marc Guehi a solid pick to win a foul

Expected to be back in the side after his one-game suspension, Marc Guehi ranks fifth for fouls won per 90 in an England shirt at these finals, winning 1.16. The Crystal Palace defender has won a foul in three of his four starts to date, winning two or more in the games against Denmark and Slovakia. Guehi was also fouled in three of his four starts for England during the qualifying campaign. He has solid matchups here too, going up against Depay, who has fouled 1.49 times per 90 at this Euros, and Steven Bergwijn, who has fouled exactly 1.0 times per 90. Guehi can be backed to win a foul at 1.40, a very good price considering his history at these finals.

09 07 2024 ENGLAND betbuilder stats pack CARDS DRAWN

England Cards and Fouls Stats

Kobbie Mainoo the pick of the bunch to foul for England

Mainoo has committed 0.87 fouls per 90 while playing vastly different roles for England depending on the game. He has played over 45 minutes in three matches at these finals, starting twice, and committing a foul in two of these games. Mainoo will face his toughest defensive assignment here, sharing responsibility of containing Xavi Simons with Declan Rice. The exciting Dutch youngster has won 1.22 fouls per 90, five fouls won in just four starts here. He is also up against Tijjani Reijnders, who has drawn a foul in each of his last four starts at these finals, averaging 0.89 per 90. Mainoo is likely to be under some serious pressure here, so backing him to foul at 1.62 looks a solid choice.

09 07 2024 ENGLAND betbuilder stats pack CARDS FOR

Cody Gakpo a solid pick to be fouled

With England being a team to give away few fouls in general, there are no true standout picks here, but Gakpo offers nice value at 1.36 to be fouled once or more. He has won 1.25 fouls per 90 at this Euros, winning six fouls at these finals to date, and eight fouls in his last seven games for his country at the Euros and during qualifying. He has strong matchups here, going up against an out-of-position Bukayo Saka, England’s most frequent fouler at this Euros, committing exactly 1.0 fouls per 90, and Kyle Walker, who has committed 0.53 fouls per 90 at these finals. With Gakpo’s pace and ability to carry the ball at speed a lethal weapon on the counter for the Dutch, it would be no surprise to see him hauled down by an England player at some point here.

09 07 2024 NETHERLANDS betbuilder stats pack CARDS DRAWN

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