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Netherlands vs France Stats and Bet Builder Tips Preview

Netherlands vs France Stats and Bet Builder Tips Preview Featured Image

France travel to Amsterdam to face the Netherlands at the Johan Cruyff Arena. France have a 100% record in the group and can confirm qualification to Euro 2024 with a victory.

The away side are favourites and will hope to do the double over the Dutch, who they beat 4-0 in the reverse fixture. Netherlands are embroiled in a close battle for second spot with Greece, so it’s all to play for. We have the best bet builder options for you ahead of this tasty contest.

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Netherlands vs France Predicted lineups

Injury problems for the Dutch

Netherlands have a plethora of injuries. Some key men ruled out are Frenkie de Jong, Matthijs de Ligt, Cody Gakpo and Memphis Depay. Others ruled out such as Teun Koopmeiners and Steven Berghuis mean they are extremely depleted for this contest. Ronald Koeman will likely go with a 3-4-3 formation, or some sort of variation of it. The attacking trio is set to be Xavi Simons, Wout Weghorst and Donyell Malen, which is still strong but not as strong as they’d like.

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Dechamps’ defensive conundrum

French defenders William Saliba and Jules Kounde pulled out of the squad because of injury. The back four is the most uncertain area but the full backs will likely be Theo Hernandez and Benjamin Pavard. The likes of Dayot Upamecano could certainly be in contention though. France has a decision to make out wide where Ousmane Dembele and Kingsley Coman will be vying for a starting spot. Upfront, either Olivier Giroud or Randal Kolo Muani will get the nod.

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Netherlands vs France team stats

Corners commonplace for Netherlands

One major statistic which stands out for the Dutch is their number of average corners (8.40). However, we should be careful with all these statistics because they’ve faced the likes of Gibraltar during this qualifying campaign. The Netherlands averages a very healthy number of shots per game (21.60) and they are the type of side that will fire in several individual attempts. The Dutch are known to be quite a clean side and average less than two cards per game.

Team Stats 7

French clean as a whistle

France tend to play a narrower game and their attackers cut inside a lot, hence why their corner average of 5.20 is much lower than Netherlands’. They’ve also been really clean, averaging a measly 1.40 cards per game. Didier Deschamps has kept this team extremely well disciplined. In a similar fashion to the Netherlands, France have not been shot-shy – racking up nearly 20 shots per game with 6.40 on target. Again though, considering some of their opponents have been very weak, some of these statistics can be skewed a touch.

Team Stats 8

Netherlands vs France players to watch

Not so simple Simons

Xavi Simons could be the most dangerous Netherlands attacker in this match. He’s enjoyed a great start to the season at RB Leipzig and has already weighed in with three goals and four assists. He averages two shots per 90 as well with good accuracy to match. He is priced at 1.30 to have two or more shots which looks pretty generous. For those feeling brave – Simons can be backed at 3.10 to score or assist. 

Wout for the rout?

Wout Weghorst should lead the line for the Netherlands which will likely unlock shooting opportunities if given proper service. He averages four shots per 90 minutes in this Euro 2024 qualifying campaign and can be backed at 1.33 for three or more. The former Man United striker is 4.20 to score anytime and an interesting 1.40 to have at least one shot on target which could be tempting to add to any Netherlands bet builder. 

All eyes on Mbappe

France captain Kylian Mbappe always commands plenty of attention, but he’s been on a rare goal drought of late. The PSG attacker has failed to net in any of his last four matches and had a crazy open goal miss vs Rennes last weekend. He has a great record for France, scoring 40 goals in 71 appearances including a brace vs Netherlands the last time the teams met. He is 2.30 to score anytime which looks quite big. Mbappe can also be considered in the shot on target market and is priced at 1.91 to have two or more.

Giroud the go-to man

Olivier Giroud has been in the news more for his goalkeeping exploits recently but his role in this French side is continually underrated. Giroud or Randal Kolo Muani will be the focal point upfront but don’t expect him to be a serial goal-getter. Giroud has only scored in one of his last seven international appearances and is employed to aid the likes of Mbappe, Kingsley Coman or Ousmane Dembele. He’s 2.80 to score anytime and 1.25 to have one or more shots on target, but this is dangerous territory because he will probably only last 65 minutes maximum. It is worth noting he’s scored four goals in seven games for AC Milan this season so he should at least carry some confidence into the match.

Rabiot to roar

At the World Cup in Qatar Adrien Rabiot averaged 1.50 shots per game for France, the third most of anyone in the squad behind only Mbappe and Giroud. He is perhaps underrated in the shots markets and averages 1.60 shots per game for Juventus this season in Serie A. He’s 1.14 to have one or more shots and 1.83 to have two or more, which could be options to add to your France bet builder. He does like to chance his arm and will likely fire a couple of efforts in. 

Netherlands vs France matchups to watch

Wout Weghorst vs Theo Hernandez

Dutch striker Wout Weghorst is a physical target man type striker who averaged nearly 1.5 fouls per 90 minutes at the World Cup in Qatar. He will use his strength to get stuck in and will likely give away a couple of cheap free kicks. In this current Euro 2024 qualifying campaign he averages nearly two fouls per 90 minutes and it is perhaps surprising to see him as big as 1.30 to commit one of more fouls. This definitely commands attention to add to your Netherlands vs France bet builder.

Denzel Dumfries vs Kylian Mbappe

Dumfries only averages 1.30 fouls per 90 minutes in this Euro 2024 qualifying group, but he racked up 3.40 fouls per game at the World Cup in Qatar. Against better opponents, he is naturally going to be tested much more and things don’t get much tougher than having to handle Kylian Mbappe. He is one of the shortest prices of any player to have one or more fouls (1.20) so for extra value, you might have to double him up for two or more fouls at 1.91. Opponents sometimes lay off Mbappe, but the chances are that Dumfries will commit at least one foul.

Adrien Rabiot vs Xavi Simons

Rabiot stands out as France’s general ‘enforcer’ in the middle of the park. He will take more risks pressing to win the ball back and produced one of the highest foul rates in their whole squad during the Qatar World Cup (1.70 per 90). This is something he’s used to at club level with Juventus this season, amassing an average of 1.40 fouls per 90 minutes. He could be up against Xavi Simons, who is quite tricky and might roam into the playmaker role for the Netherlands. Rabiot is 1.29 to commit one or more fouls and this could be a good addition to any France bet builder.

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