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Netherlands vs Turkey Stats Pack, Bet Builder Tips and Predictions

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Netherlands vs Turkey

Calendar 6th July
Football icon kick off 20:00
Football icon Over 9.5 corners
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The Netherlands have averaged 6.75 corners per game, while Turkey have averaged 6.25 corners per game.

All four of Turkey’s games at the finals have seen over 9.5 corners.

Football icon Turkey to commit 11+ fouls
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Turkey have committed 12 or more fouls in both of their last two games as the tournament has got serious, fouling 16 times against the Czech Republic and 12 against Austria.

The Netherlands have won 12 fouls against France and 10 against Austria, their numbers trending higher in their more competitive fixtures so far.

Football icon Hakan Calhanoglu to have 2+ shots
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Calhanoglu has averaged 2.76 shots per 90 at this Euros so far.

He has taken 2+ shots in 2 of his 3 starts at the tournament, only failing to do so in their 3-0 loss to Portugal, where he managed only 1 shot.

Football icon Virgil van Dijk to commit 1+ fouls
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Van Dijk has averaged 2.50 fouls per 90 at this Euros.

He has committed a foul in all 4 of his starts, and has fouled more than once in 3 of those 4.

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The final quarter-final of the 2024 European Championship is the Netherlands vs Turkey.

Ronald Koeman’s Oranje comfortably beat Romania 3-0 in the round of 16 to set up this quarter-final clash after a disappointing third-placed finish in Group D.

Turkey meanwhile eased through Group F to set up a round of 16 clash with Austria and surprised many by beating Ralf Rangnick’s side 2-1 to progress to the quarter-finals here.

We’ve delved into the data so you don’t have to ahead of this huge quarter-final fixture, and below we’ve provided you with our best Netherlands vs Turkey bet builder picks but also a pre-selected bet builder that we think offers excellent value here, so read on and get involved in the action.

You can check out our Stats Pack Guide to take advantage of the data in this article ahead of kick-off.

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Netherlands vs Turkey Predicted Lineups

Why change a winning side for Koeman

No changes are anticipated from the Netherlands boss as his players cruised through their round of 16 clash with Romania. The defence has remained settled all tournament but Koeman has tinkered elsewhere, having appeared to settle on Tijjani Reijnders in holding midfield after Joey Veerman’s horror showing in Austria led to him being subbed off after 35 minutes. Donyell Malen features on the right flank, with Cody Gakpo on the left and Xavi Simons central, playing behind Memphis Depay at striker.

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Turkey dealing with more suspensions

Both Orkun Kokcu and Ismail Yuksek are suspended for this clash, and it seems that brace-scoring Merih Demiral will now be serving a two-game suspension after his controversial gesture in celebration following Turkey’s win over Austria in the last round. That means Kaan Ayhan will start in holding midfield, with Salih Ozcan alongside him. Hakan Calhanoglu returns in midfield, so Arda Guler will shift to the right flank, with Baris Alper Yilmaz through the middle. If Demiral is suspended, Samet Akaydin is the likely replacement at centre back.

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Netherlands vs Turkey Team Stats

Corners look a good bet here

The Netherlands have averaged 6.80 corners per game at this Euros to date, their high point coming as they racked up an impressive 13 corners in the last round against Romania. They have had five or more corners in three of their four games so far and have conceded an average of 3.75 corners. Turkey meanwhile have averaged 6.25 corners per game, having had at least four corners in each of their four games. The corner count looks likely to be high here, and good value is on offer for over 9.5 corners at 1.75. This line has been hit in all four of Turkey’s games so far.

05 07 2024 NETHERLANDS betbuilder stats pack TEAM STATS

Fouls look to be a good option for Turkey

As the tournament has progressed and the games have started to mean more, Turkey’s foul numbers have crept up, with Vincenzo Montella’s side now hitting 12 or more fouls in each of their last two games, with 16 against the Czech Republic and 12 against Austria last time out. They committed 11 or more fouls in four of their qualifiers and hit double figures in six. The Netherlands drew 12 fouls and 10 fouls in their toughest games against France and Austria, and in what could be a real battle, fouls are likely to run on the higher end in a quarter-final that represents a huge opportunity for either side to reach an unexpected semi-final or even final. Turkey to commit 11 or more fouls offers nice value at 1.53 here.

05 07 2024 TURKEY betbuilder stats pack TEAM STATS

Netherlands vs Turkey Shots and Shots on Target Stats

Virgil van Dijk is an interesting prospect here

Averaging exactly 1.0 shots per 90 at the finals so far, van Dijk has efficiently spread his shots around his four starts, having one in each of the games to date. Only one has been a shot on target, but his dominant aerial presence makes him a constant threat at set pieces, and the obvious target amongst what is a relatively small side. With the Netherlands having five or more corners in three of their four games at this Euros, van Dijk should get chances to get his head on the ball and have a shot here. He can be backed to do so at 1.53.

05 07 2024 NETHERLANDS betbuilder stats pack SHOOTING

Hakan Calhanoglu a solid choice for shots

Calhanoglu has had two or more shots in two of his three starts for Turkey, only failing to do so in their weakest showing by far, their 3-0 loss to Portugal, where he still managed at least one shot. Calhanoglu had four shots against Georgia and three shots against Czech Republic before his suspension for the round of 16 clash with Austria. The Inter Milan midfielder has averaged 2.76 shots per 90 at this Euros and can be backed to have two or more shots again here at 1.80.

05 07 2024 TURKEY betbuilder stats pack SHOOTING

Netherlands vs Turkey Goals and Assists Stats

Cody Gakpo’s red-hot form should not be ignored

Liverpool forward Gakpo is quickly becoming a tournament specialist, being the Netherlands’ best player at the 2022 World Cup and now racking up a tournament-high three goals to go along with an assist. The rangy winger has scored in all but one of his four starts here in Germany, failing to do so only in the game against France which finished goalless. He has had a shot on target in all four games so far, averaging 1.84 shots on target per 90 at this Euros, and has generated 2.7 combined xG (expected goals) and xA (expected assists). He therefore looks like a great option to score or assist here at 2.10.

05 07 2024 NETHERLANDS betbuilder stats pack GOALSCORING

Arda Guler the best choice here

Real Madrid’s Arda Guler announced himself on the European stage with his gorgeous, curling effort in Turkey’s opening game against Georgia, scoring the goal which put Turkey 2-1 up in what was a real slog against one of the tournament’s surprise packages. He has since added an assist in the previous round against Austria, to sit joint-top for Turkish goal contributions at this tournament with two. Guler has scored or assisted in two of his three starts at this tournament, generating 1.2 combined xG and xA, the third-most of any Turkey players here. He offers nice value to either score or assist again here at 3.25.

05 07 2024 TURKEY betbuilder stats pack GOALSCORING

Netherlands Cards and Fouls Stats

Virgil van Dijk looks a solid choice here

Dutch captain Virgil van Dijk has committed a foul in each of his four starts at the finals, racking up multiple fouls in three of these four and averaging 2.50 fouls per 90. The Liverpool man committed four fouls against Romania and three against Austria, so looks almost a banker to foul at least once here, which he can be backed to do at 1.36. He is up against Baris Alper Yilmaz who has won 2.0 fouls per 90 exactly at the finals, winning a foul in all four of Turkey’s games, including four against Czech Republic and two against Georgia.

05 07 2024 NETHERLANDS betbuilder stats pack CARDS FOR

Kaan Ayhan offers excellent value to be fouled

Ayhan has started three of Turkey’s four games at the finals and has won a foul in each of these three starts, averaging 1.33 fouls won per 90 across the tournament as a whole. Ayhan won two fouls in his last appearance against Turkey as a centre back but should be restored to his regular spot as a defensive midfielder here. He can be backed to win a foul at 2.0, and has a solid matchup here in Xavi Simons, who has committed 0.97 fouls per 90 at the finals and has committed a foul in two of his three starts at this Euros.

05 07 2024 TURKEY betbuilder stats pack CARDS DRAWN

Turkey Cards and Fouls Stats

Hakan Calhanoglu to foul offers great value

Calhanoglu has fouled in all three of his starts for Turkey at the finals, fouling twice or more in two of these three starts. He has averaged 1.72 fouls per 90, far and away the highest total of any Turkish player expected to start here, with Kaan Ayhan being second with just 1.0 fouls per 90. He can be backed to commit a foul at 1.40. His matchup is Tijjani Reijnders and Xavi Simons, who have drawn 0.81 and 1.61 fouls per 90 at the finals, making him look a solid bet to foul at least once here.

05 07 2024 TURKEY betbuilder stats pack CARDS FOR

Cody Gakpo the best choice here

Turkey’s low foul tallies and few Netherlands players being able to consistently draw fouls make this a tough market to draw value from. The best bet here is Cody Gakpo, who has drawn 1.58 fouls per 90 at the Euros. Gakpo has won four fouls in the opening game against Poland and two fouls against Austria and can be backed to win a foul here at 1.40. He is up against Mert Muldur who has fouled in two of his three starts at the finals, and in both of the games in which he primarily played as a right back, as he is expected to here.

05 07 2024 NETHERLANDS betbuilder stats pack CARDS DRAWN

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