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Newcastle vs Tottenham
1st September
kick off 13:30 Over 2.5 goals Over 10.5 corners Alexander Isak to score or assist Son Heung-Min to score or assist
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Leg 1: Over 2.5 Goals
Newcastle matches have yet to really explode this season but there have been some logical reasons for it. In their home opener an early red card totally changed the whole dynamics of the fixture, whilst at Bournemouth last week a 1-1 draw was the bare minimum which should’ve been scored. The Magpies have the second worst xGA in the division (4.49) and have been extremely fortunate to concede only one goal. Goalkeeper Nick Pope has enjoyed a strong start to the season but he can’t keep saving them every time.
Spurs average the second most shots on target per game (7) of any team in the Premier League. They should have comfortably put Leicester to bed on the opening day before thrashing Everton 4-0 last week. This is a team that will always carry a significant threat under the management of Ange Postecoglou. There is a long history of goals in this fixture with the last 8 encounters all ending over 2.5. Spurs have been beaten 6-1 and 4-0 here in recent years and it’s not a happy hunting ground for them. Taking over 2.5 goals looks like a strong foundation block for any bet builder in Newcastle vs Spurs
Leg 2: Over 10.5 corners
It is very early days in the season but matches involving these two teams currently average a huge 16 corners per game! Those sort of numbers are unsustainable but it would not be a surprise if we see either team rank consistently high for flag kicks this season. Spurs fixtures are often going to be wild, open and end to end. Ange Postecoglou will happily get embroiled in a basketball style match if needed and there are usually an abundance of shots fired. Unlike a lot of modern systems, Ange generally prefers his wingers to stretch the field which is why he often starts with someone such as Brennan Johnson over Kulusevski. More width equals more crosses which increases their corner chances.
Newcastle’s corner stats are a bit distorted by the first game in which Southampton racked up a huge 12 corners against them here at St James’ Park. They could come under significant pressure again though and their defending style of sometimes safety first can lead towards conceding several flag kicks. Newcastle should be able to contribute plenty themselves though offensively. The likes of Gordon, Murphy and Isak are all serial corner winners for various different reasons. Right back Kieran Trippier is also more conventional and won two corners himself last week at Bournemouth. Based on stats, logic and style then taking over 10.5 corners looks like another good bet builder addition.
Leg 3: Alexander Isak to score or assist
For those looking for a safer play then taking Alexander Isak to have one or more shots on target could be an option. He is known for being very accurate with his shooting and is a great finisher. In a match where the goal line is so high though it could pay to be more aggressive by taking certain individuals in the ‘to score or assist’ market. Isak scored 21 goals last season and bagged 10 from just 22 appearances in the previous campaign. He is one of the few players who could give Erling Haaland a run for his money in the golden boot race should he start getting hot. The Swedish international has remarkably yet to have a single shot this season but last year averaged 2.43 per game with a massive 1.61 on target. Isak should be the primary penalty taker for Newcastle which also helps this bet.
Isak is not known for his assists as much, but the price difference between this bet and him to score anytime isn’t that much, so you may as well include the assist option just in case. He did supply a goal vs Southampton in matchday one and has half a dozen total assists since joining the club in 2022. Isak is a brilliant technical player who can drift into some wide areas, especially on the left so it’s not beyond reason he could supply another goal here this Sunday. He’s going to be a huge threat and will definitely get the chances against this Spurs defence.
LEG 4: Son Heung-Min to score or assist
The other prime player to target in the ‘to score or assist’ market is Spurs captain Son-Heung Min. He came to life last week after a slow opener against Leicester. The injury to Dom Solanke moved him back to a central striker role and it worked brilliantly with Son scoring twice and looking a constant menace. Solanke is again ruled out here, along with Richarlison so it should give Son ample opportunity to strut his stuff. The South Korean international scored 17 times last season but also weighed in with 10 assists.
Son should be the primary penalty taker for Spurs here which also adds weight to his goalscoring claims. He should be confident after bagging a brace of goals last week and fired all three of his shots on target. His record against Newcastle down the years is fairly decent with 5 goals and 4 assists in 16 games played. He is one of the best attackers in the Premier League and in a potentially wide open match has the potential to be lethal. Taking Son to score or assist close to the evens mark looks like tremendous value to add to any Newcastle vs Spurs bet builder.
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Tottenham Cards and Fouls Stats
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