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Portugal vs France Stats Pack, Bet Builder Tips and Predictions

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Portugal vs France

Calendar 5th July
Football icon kick off 20:00
Football icon France GK to make 3+ saves
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Mike Maignan has made 3 or more saves in all 3 of France’s group stage games, facing 3+ shots on target in each of those games, including 8 against Poland alone.

Portugal have hit at least 3 shots on target in every game at the finals, forcing 5+ saves from the opposing goalkeeper in 3 of their 4 games so far.

Football icon Antoine Griezmann to have 2+ shots
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Griezmann has averaged 3.03 shots at this Euros, taking 2+ shots in all 3 of his starts.

He has had 2+ shots in all 5 of his last starts here and in qualifying, taking 5 shots in the game v Netherlands in the group stage, and 2 last time out against Belgium.

Football icon Bruno Fernandes to commit 1+ fouls
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Fernandes has fouled 1.21 times per 90 at this Euros, fouling in all 3 games he has started, and in 9 of his last 10 starts here and in qualifying.

Up against Aurelien Tchouameni, who has won 1.38 fouls per 90, winning 1+ foul in all 3 of his starts, including 2 v Poland.

Football icon Antoine Griezmann to be fouled 1+ times
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Griezmann has won a foul in 2 of his 3 starts so far (1.52 fouls drawn per 90), being fouled 3 times v Netherlands and 2 v Belgium.

He is up against Nuno Mendes, who commits 0.91 fouls per 90 at this Euros and has fouled in 2 of his 3 games, and Rafael Leao, who has committed 1.50 fouls per 90 so far this tournament.

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The second quarter-final of Friday is no less impressive than the first, as 2016 finalists Portugal and France meet again for a place in the semi-finals.

Portugal squeezed through a tight game against a tricky Slovenia side that managed to keep their array of attacking talent at bay for 90 minutes. They eventually won on penalties with Diogo Costa making three straight saves to send his nation through with a 3-0 win.

France have underwhelmed and required a deflected shot to get past an equally disappointing Belgian side in the last round, with things still not clicking for Didier Deschamps’ side despite having the best squad in the tournament.

You can check out our Stats Pack Guide to take advantage of the data in this article ahead of kick-off.

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Portugal vs France Predicted Lineups

No changes expected from Martinez

Despite his players going deep on Monday night as they needed the full 120 minutes plus penalties to overcome Slovenia, Roberto Martinez looks likely to use the same XI that started that game. Cristiano Ronaldo seems to remain undroppable despite his penalty miss against Slovenia and obvious struggles in front of goal so far, looking likely to lead the line again here.

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Deschamps tweaking the midfield once again

While France’s defensive unit has remained rock solid throughout this tournament, the midfield and forward line have seen plenty of changes. The forwards look to be settled now, with most of the changes being due to Kylian Mbappe’s broken nose, but Mbappe on the left, Marcus Thuram through the middle and Antoine Griezmann on the right looks to be the preferred option now. This time around, Adrien Rabiot will miss out in the middle of the park, with Real Madrid’s Eduardo Camavinga offered his first start of this Euros in his place. Club team-mate Aurelien Tchouameni and tournament stalwart N’Golo Kante will sit alongside.

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Portugal vs France Team Stats

Hard to ignore Portugal corners

Portugal’s corners could offer enormous value if they are able to reach some of the totals they have done so far at the finals. Roberto Martinez’s side have seen 11 or more corners in three of their four games so far, only failing to reach this line in their comfortable 3-0 win over Turkey. They have averaged exactly nine corners per game. France, meanwhile, conceded six to Austria in their first game of the tournament, happy to sit on their lead and soak up pressure after grabbing it midway through the first half, something which could easily happen here. Portugal can be backed to have over 3.5 corners at 1.45, or over 4.5 corners at 2.0. More than that could easily happen, so those looking for a longshot may be interested in backing some of the higher lines too.

04 07 2024 PORTUGAL betbuilder stats pack TEAM STATS

Saves look a good way to go for France here

Mike Maignan has made three or more saves in all three of his starts in the group stage, with what was expected to be a strong French defence having conceded at least three shots on target in each game. Eight shots on target were allowed against Poland, suggesting the France defence could be vulnerable here. Portugal, meanwhile, have had at least three shots on target in all four Euros games so far, forcing five or more saves in three of these four games. We expect them to threaten consistently here, and so backing Maignan to make three or more saves at 2.0 looks to be an opportunity too good to pass up.

04 07 2024 FRANCE betbuilder stats pack TEAM STATS

Portugal vs France Shots and Shots on Target Stats

Joao Palhinha to have a shot looks good

Fulham’s Joao Palhinha is usually known for his defensive work but could be an interesting option in an attacking sense here. He has now had a shot in two of his three starts at the finals, all the more impressive with two of these starts lasting just 45 minutes. He had two shots against Georgia and three against Slovenia, hitting a shot on target in both of these. Palhinha has averaged 2.17 shots per 90 at the finals, and with France likely to make it tough for Portugal, long shots may be needed, opening the door for Palhinha to shoot again. He can be backed for a single shot at 1.62 here.

04 07 2024 PORTUGAL betbuilder stats pack SHOOTING

Antoine Griezmann offers great value

Antoine Griezmann looks to offer the best value in shooting terms for France here. The Atletico Madrid forward has taken at least two shots in all three of his starts at the finals. He has also pulled the trigger twice or more in five straight starts both here and in qualifying, averaging 3.03 shots per 90 at this Euros. Griezmann took a team-high five shots against the Netherlands, but even with Mbappe back in the side he was still able to shoot twice against Austria and Belgium. With that in mind, backing Griezmann to have two or more shots at 1.80 looks well worth taking.

04 07 2024 FRANCE betbuilder stats pack SHOOTING

Portugal vs France Goals and Assists Stats

Bruno Fernandes looks the best bet here

With Cristiano Ronaldo proving wasteful upfront for Portugal, returning just one assist from four starts at the finals, Bruno Fernandes looks to be the smart pick for a Portugal goal or assist here. He has just one goal contribution himself, a goal against Turkey, but has generated 1.7 combined xG (expected goals) and xA (expected assists) in three starts, suggesting he may be due to get one or the other soon. Fernandes has also taken 2.12 shots per 90 at the finals and created 4.85 shots from passes per 90. He can be backed to score or assist at 3.60.

04 07 2024 PORTUGAL betbuilder stats pack GOALSCORING

Mbappe is the obvious pick for a reason

The obvious choice to score or assist for France is Kylian Mbappe, but despite this, he still offers solid value here. He is the only French player to score at this Euros to date, with both other goals being own goals. Mbappe has generated 2.5 xG so far and will be desperate to make his mark on a tournament that has so far passed him by. The Real Madrid man has taken 4.67 shots per 90, 1.67 of which have been on target. He has also created 3.66 shots per 90 from passes, so looks in with a shout of either a goal or assist. He can be backed to do so at 2.30.

04 07 2024 FRANCE betbuilder stats pack GOALSCORING

Portugal Cards and Fouls Stats

Bruno Fernandes looks good for a foul

Bruno Fernandes has committed a foul in each of his three starts for Portugal at this Euros. He can be backed to make it four in a row here at 1.50; and with Fernandes having fouled in nine of his last 10 starts for his country at this Euros and during qualifying, it would be no great surprise. He has averaged 1.21 fouls per 90 so far at the finals, and is up against Aurelien Tchouameni, who has won 1.38 fouls per 90. The Real Madrid midfielder has won a foul in all three of starts for France at this tournament, including winning two against Poland.

04 07 2024 PORTUGAL betbuilder stats pack CARDS FOR

Antoine Griezmann offers nice value winning fouls

Griezmann looks a very solid option to win a foul here at 1.62. He has won 1.52 fouls per 90 so far at this Euros, being fouled in two of his three starts so far. He did not win a foul when deployed in midfield against Austria, but when restored to the forward line, as he was against Netherlands and Belgium, he won three and two fouls respectively. He is up against Nuno Mendes, who has committed 0.91 fouls per 90, committing a foul in two of his three starts to date, including two against Czech Republic. He did not commit a foul against Slovenia, but their wide midfielders were far from adventurous, giving him little defending to do for much of the game.

04 07 2024 FRANCE betbuilder stats pack CARDS DRAWN

France Cards and Fouls Stats

Dembele great value in both fouls markets

Jules Kounde’s fouling record looks poor so far at this Euros, committing a foul in just one of his four starts. Both fouls he has committed so far came against Jeremy Doku in France’s clash with Belgium. However, his matchup here is the similarly pacy and tricky Rafael Leao, suggesting Kounde could be likely to be whistled again here. He will also be asked to deal with Nuno Mendes, who has won 1.21 fouls per 90, winning fouls in two of his three starts. Leao meanwhile has won 2.50 fouls per 90 at the finals, winning a foul in all three starts to date, including two against both Turkey and Slovenia, despite playing only 45 and 75 minutes in these two games. Kounde can be backed to commit a foul at 1.57 here.

04 07 2024 FRANCE betbuilder stats pack CARDS FOR

Pepe an intriguing option to win fouls

An interesting option for a foul is 41-year-old centre-back Pepe. He has all the experience and guile to win a foul instead of giving the ball up when in a tough spot, and has proven just that at the finals, drawing 0.94 fouls per 90. He has won a foul in two of his three starts, including twice against Slovenia last time out. He will be up against Marcus Thuram and Antoine Griezmann, who have committed 1.20 and 0.61 fouls at these finals respectively. Thuram fouled in both of his group stage starts, racking up two fouls against Austria and one against Netherlands. Griezmann meanwhile fouled in two of his three starts so far, once against Austria and again against Belgium. Pepe can be backed to win a foul at 1.67.

04 07 2024 PORTUGAL betbuilder stats pack CARDS DRAWN

Portugal vs France Matchups to watch

Bruno Fernandes v Aurelien Tchouameni

Nuno Mendes v Antoine Griezmann

Rafael Leao v Jules Kounde

Pepe v Randal Kolo Muani

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