An immovable object meets an irresistible force as six-time Europa League winners Sevilla meet an AS Roma side looking to make it back-to-back European title winning trophies under the guidance of five-time European winning manager Jose Mourinho.
This game represents Sevilla’s best opportunity of European football after a disappointing campaign in which they were knocked out of the Champions League at the group stage and languish in mid-table. Their run to the final has been impressive, however, seeing off Dutch and Turkish runners-up PSV Eindhoven and Fenerbahce and English and Italian giants Manchester United and Juventus.
Roma, meanwhile, are guaranteed European football next season but will fancy their chances of adding another title to their collection. Their run to the final has coincided with two-legged victories against Austrian powerhouses RB Salzburg, 2023-24 Champions League alumni Real Sociedad and Feyenoord and German giants Bayer Leverkusen.
It’s the Europa League final, so of course we’ve done the research on your behalf and created a stats pack guide to support you creating a Sevilla vs Roma bet builder. We’ve provided our own Europa League final bet builder tips at the bottom of this page and if you want more information on how to use our stats pack guide, click here.
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SEVILLA VS ROMA PREDICTED LINEUPS
Enforced change at left-back for Sevilla
Jose Luis Mendilibar has the good fortune to select from his strongest available XI for the final with the exception of Marcos Acuna, who was sent off for a second bookable offence in extra-time. That provides an opportunity for ex-Manchester United left-back Alex Telles in what will probably be the only change, especially given a number of that side were rested during their league defeat against Real Madrid last weekend.
Selection dilemma for Roma
Jose Mourinho has made a name for getting his selections right for big occasions and he has a couple of big decisions to make for the final. He has made a number of changes for their league clashes in recent weeks to keep players fit for their Europa League exertions and those selections make it likely we will see experienced Englishman Chris Smalling and Argentinian wizard Paulo Dybala step into the XI for the biggest of games.
SEVILLA VS ROMA TEAM STATS
Sevilla struggling this year
The big concern for Sevilla is that their regression in the league isn’t the result of underperformance against the numbers – they have simply been a poor football team. Based on that, it’s little surprise that their run to the Europa League final has come as a result of them scoring 0.38 goals more than expected and conceded 0.59 fewer. Few teams pick up as many cards as the Spaniards and that has continued in the Europa League, averaging 2.89 cards in their knockout games.
Roma lacking ruthlessness in front of goal but defensively sound
Roma’s numbers are what you’d lazily expect from a Jose Mourinho team – they aren’t the most ruthless in front of goal but are excellent defensively. There are similarities in their league form to their work in Europe, conceding 0.7 goals per game while creating an expected goal more than they give up, but not always taking those chances. Like their Spanish opposition, Inter matches are full of cards and that also extends to Europe where an average of 5.5 cards per game have been dished out.
SEVILLA VS ROMA SHOTS AND SHOTS ON TARGET STATS
En-Nesyri enjoying himself in Europe
With a striker like Youssef En-Nesyri up top, you can always bank on Sevilla dishing out a chance of three and the striker isn’t disappointing this season, averaging over a shot on target both domestically and in Europe. Ivan Rakitic is also having a lease of life from midfield, the ex-Barcelona midfielder averaging over two shots per game during their European knockout fixtures, building on an impressive number domestically.
Cristante a nice price to shoot
The players that get the most shots off for Roma aren’t the most surprising and Englishman Tammy Abraham tops that list, managing over 2.5 shots and over a shot on target per game – his numbers are similar leading the line in Europe. However, at 1.53, Bryan Cristante could be worth a look – Roma’s leader managing over a shot and a half per game in his 13.2 90’s in Europe.
SEVILLA VS ROMA GOALS AND ASSISTS STATS
En-Nesyri doing the business in Europe
Goals have been hard to come by for Sevilla this season and with no player reaching double figures in the league. However, Youssef En-Nesyri has done the business elsewhere, scoring more goals in cup competitions than he has in the league, including four in 6.6 90’s in Europe. Ivan Rakitic is their top man as far assists go and given he is taking Sevilla corners, he could be a worthy addition to your Sevilla v Roma bet builder at 4/1.
Dybala the main man for Roma
Despite not always starting matches for Roma, Paulo Dybala has had a very impressive season with 23 goal contributions in 26 90’s. The other name to keep an eye on is Lorenzo Pellegrini, Roma’s captain and star man with 17 goal contributions. He is available at 3.4 to score or assist anytime and it’s worth noting he is Roma’s penalty taker in Dybala’s absence and takes set-pieces too.
SEVILLA VS ROMA PLAYER PASSING STATS
Sevilla likely to see the ball
Sevilla have averaged just over 50% of the ball this season but they face a Roma side who are happy to give up possession in Europe, meaning Mendilibar’s side should see a lot of the ball. That will be music to the ears of Ivan Rakitic, who has racked up an average of 56 passes domestically and over 60 per game in Europe – he would be the man to back for your Sevilla vs Roma bet builder.
Roma to give up possession
Roma are averaging just shy of 50% in Serie A, perhaps to be expected when they’re one of the better sides in the league. In Europe, they haven’t managed more than 50% in a single game and when facing top opposition, they averaged 41, 25, 38 and 29 percent of the ball. They are going to give up possession in the final for the sake of structure and that means you should avoid passing metrics for your bet builder.
SEVILLA CARDS AND FOULS STATS
Sevilla’s Telles to get a telling off
Sevilla have committed an average of 12.5 fouls per game in the Europa League and Alex Telles is unlikely to reduce that number, the full-back committing over 1.5 fouls per 90 minutes in league action this term. On the opposite flank, Lucas Ocampos has proven himself a willing fouler of opponents, matching Telles’ numbers when playing Europe on top of what he commits domestically.
Those numbers work well when you consider that Telles could find himself in and around similar spaces to Paul Dybala, who enjoys occupying right and central areas. As for Ocampos, he could be tasked with pressing left-sided centre-back Roger Ibanez, who doesn’t commit to many dribbles but finds himself on the end of opposition fouls over 1.5 times per 90 – a figure increased in Europe too.
Alex Telles v Paulo Dybala
Lucas Ocampos v Roger Ibanez
Nemanja Gudelj v Tammy Abraham
ROMA CARDS AND FOULS STATS
Roma’s defence not afraid to get physical
Because of their uber-defensive shape at times, Roma’s defence find themselves having to do the dirty in order to stop their opponents progressing, and that is exactly what they are doing in Europe. Roger Ibanez and Gianluca Mancini are the wide centre-backs and not only are they receiving plenty of ticking offs from referee’s domestically, they have also followed that through in Europe.
That should be music to the ears of Sevilla’s forwards who like to dribble and cause havoc. That is especially the case out wide where Bryan Gil has been fouled over three times per 90 in the Europa League and should enjoy himself against Mancini, while Lucas Ocampos commits to nearly five dribbles per 90, meaning Ibanez will have his hands full.
Roger Ibanez v Lucas Ocampos
Bryan Cristante v Oliver Torres
Gianluca Mancini v Bryan Gil
Sevilla vs Roma Bet Builder Tips and Picks of the Pack
Using the stats above, it’s so much easier to put together a quality Sevilla vs Roma Bet Builder, which can be kicked off with some of the selections below.
Before you add them to your bet slip, you might want to make full use of all these bookmaker Free Bets first though.
Sevilla vs Roma
Lucas Ocampos averages 1.39 shots on target P/90 in the Europa League.
In his last meeting with Roma in 2020, he had 2 shots on target.
The Argentinian also managed 2 shots on target in each leg against Juventus.
The veteran midfielder has been an absolute machine for shots in this seasons Europa League.
Nobody has had more shots than the Croat. His 23 attempts top the Sevilla charts, he averages 2.79/90.
He had 2 away to United, 3 in the home leg. He then had 1 away to Juve and a ridiculous 7 in the home match.
They average more corners per game than any other team in the Europa League with 7.50, and their game lends itself to corners perfectly.
Sevilla love to cross the ball, and their focus down the flanks, pioneered by the dribbling rates of Gil and Ocampos (5.12 and 9.07 dribbles P/90 in Europe), results in a number of balls being poked out or deflected behind.
The Spanish side have managed 18, 4, 8, 6, 5, 4, 7, and 8 corners in their 8 knockout games so far.
They’ve registered 9, 5, 6, 3, 3, 5, 3, and 4 shots on target respectively in their 8 knockout ties.
Roma conceded 6 shots on target in their last Europa League outing, and a further 5 conceded at home to Feyenoord would suggest that Sevilla will get their chances.