Bournemouth v Luton Town
I think a goal is the bare minimum The Cherries get here, as the Andoni Iraola revolution looks to be gathering some serious steam for the seasiders.
With 4 wins, 1 draw, 12 goals scored and just 3 conceded in the last 5, Bournemouth are top of the form table. They’ve been excellent and that stunning 3-0 win at Old Trafford last week was a sign of how far they’ve come. Eyebrows were raised when Gary O’Neil was removed after doing by all accounts, a great job; but that decision looks to be baring fruit now.
Luton have done well in recent games at Kenilworth Road, pushing both City and Arsenal close, but away from home comforts they’ve really struggled.
They’ve kept 0 clean sheets this season, and on the road they’ve lost 6/8, only winning 1 match. Only Sheff Utd have taken fewer points away from home so far this campaign.
Luton’s metrics on the road are abysmal. Their average xGA is a massive 2.87. I can’t see how they have any hope of keeping Bournemouth out here.
Bournemouth have scored in their last 8 straight matches, which includes far tougher opponents such as City, Villa and Newcastle.
Solanke looks right up for it too, and is emerging as one of the best of the rest in terms of Premier League strikers.
Stockport County v Sutton United
Stockport vs Sutton is set to be a mismatch in every sense of the word.
Stockport are 6pts clear at the top of League Two. They’ve scored 41 goals in 21 games (1.95 p/90).
Their current league position has been built on Home form, 7:3:1, scoring 20 goals in 11 games.
Stockport have scored 2+ goals in 62% of league games.
Sutton are at the complete opposite end of the table, 24th, with 14 points from a possible 60!
Sutton have conceded the 2nd most goals in League Two (40).
The story doesn’t get any better on the road, Sutton are dead last in Away form with no wins from 9 games. They lead the league in GA on the road too, 25 conceded in just 9 games – 2.78 p/90.
Sutton have shipped two or more goals in 78% of their Away games compared to a respectable 27% at Home.