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Spain vs France Stats Pack, Bet Builder Tips and Predictions

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Spain vs France

Calendar 9th July
Football icon kick off 20:00
Football icon France GK to make 3+ saves
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Maignan has made 3+ saves in 3 of his 5 games at the Euros, overperforming his xGOT faced by 1.84.

Spain have forced 4+ saves in 3 of their last 4 games, including 8 against Italy and 4 against Germany.

Football icon Dani Olmo to have 2+ shots
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Olmo has taken 2+ shots in 3 of his 4 appearances at this Euros, despite only starting 1 game.

He has averaged 4.67 shots per 90, taking 4 v Albania, 6 v Georgia and 3 v Germany in the quarter-finals.

Football icon Aurelien Tchouameni to have 2+ shots
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Tchouameni has averaged 2.62 shots per 90 at this Euros, the third-most of any France player expected to start, behind only Kylian Mbappe and Marcus Thuram.

He has had 2+ shots in all 4 starts so far, taking 4 v Belgium and 3 v the Netherlands.

Football icon Rodri to be fouled 1+ times
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Rodri has been fouled 2+ times in 3 of his 4 starts for Spain at the finals, for an average of 1.63 fouls drawn per 90.

He is up against a combination of Adrien Rabiot, Tchouameni and N’Golo Kante, who have committed 1.47, 1.19 and 1.20 fouls per 90 respectively.

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Tuesday night sees Spain and France go head-to-head Munich for a place in the final of Euro 2024.

Spain overcame Germany with a last-gasp Mikel Merino header that saw La Roja beat the hosts 2-1 in a clash between the two sides that most people saw as the best performers at this tournament so far.

France meanwhile needed penalties to secure their passage to the semi-finals following a dull and cagey 0-0 draw with Portugal.

You can look through our Stats Pack Guide to take advantage of the data in this article ahead of kick-off. We will be bringing you our Stats Packs for all of the last three Euro 2024 fixtures , so make sure to check out this page to help you craft some Bet Builder winners to round out this tournament.

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Spain vs France Predicted Lineups

Three enforced changes for Luis de la Fuente

Spain’s hard-fought win over the hosts on Friday came at a cost, as Pedri went off injured in the eighth minute and will now miss the rest of the Euros. There were also two suspensions, as Robin Le Normand and Dani Carvajal picked up their second booking in five games to trigger an automatic one-game ban. The rest of the side is likely to remain unchanged, with Jesus Navas and Nacho Fernandez brought into the backline for Carvajal and Le Normand, and Dani Olmo replacing Pedri in the middle of the park.

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A few changes expected from Didier Deschamps

It could hardly be said that Deschamps’ new formation, the 4-3-1-2, was much more successful than his earlier efforts in this competition. France yet again failed to score from open play and Deschamps looks poised to return to his 4-3-3 shape, which may see Antoine Griezmann dropped to the bench in favour of wideman Ousmane Dembele. Eduardo Eduardo Camavinga made his first start of this Euros last time out but Adrien Rabiot is likely to return having served his one-game suspension.

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Spain vs France Team Stats

Corners are the best option for Spain

Spain have had at least five corners in all but one of their five games at this Euros, notching 13 against Georgia for a tournament-high. They have averaged exactly 6.0 per game to this point, and have generally done well to prevent them too, losing the corner battle just once, against Germany in the quarter-finals. France meanwhile have conceded six or more corners twice, against Austria and Portugal, the two toughest opponents they have faced during their run to this stage. Portugal had 11 corners in their quarter-final matchup with France, and Spain could rack up a strong total here too. Over 4.5 Spain corners at 1.60 looks like a very solid choice here.

08 07 2024 SPAIN betbuilder stats pack TEAM STATS

Goalkeeper saves look a sensible pick for France

Mike Maignan has played all five games for France at this Euros, making at least three saves in three of these five. He has kept a clean sheet in all three of those games and is an accomplished shot-stopper. The two games in which Maignan did not clear the three or more saves line were against Poland and a disappointing Belgian side in the round of 16. He made three saves against Austria and four each against the Netherlands and Portugal, while Spain have forced the opposing goalkeeper into 8, 2 (weakened side against Albania), 9 and 4 saves in their last four games here. You can back Maignan to make three or more saves at 1.62.

08 07 2024 FRANCE betbuilder stats pack TEAM STATS 1

Spain vs France Shots and Shots on Target Stats

Dani Olmo looks a good bet for a shot on target

Fabian Ruiz has offered great value in the shooting markets so far, but we like his odds a lot less when playing alongside Dani Olmo, with the PSG man tending to drop deeper and allowing Olmo to get forward instead. Despite starting just once at the finals, Olmo has had 14 shots in his time on the pitch, averaging 4.67 shots per 90. He had three shots, with two on target against Germany, playing virtually the full game after Pedri’s early injury, took four shots in his only start against Albania and had six shots in 39 minutes off the bench in the round of 16 clash with Georgia. Olmo is always keen to let fly, and he can be backed to have two or more shots here at 1.36, a bet well worth taking at this price.

08 07 2024 SPAIN betbuilder stats pack SHOOTING

Aurelien Tchouameni well worth a look here

Only Kylian Mbappe and Marcus Thuram have averaged more shots per 90 than Tchouameni of the players likely to start here, yet you can back Tchouameni to have two or more shots at a huge price of 2.25. The Real Madrid man has averaged 2.62 shots per 90 at the finals and has now taken at least two shots in all four of his starts, taking four against Belgium and three against the Netherlands. With this likely to be another tough game for Les Bleus, longshots could be a way to break through a stubborn Spanish defence, and Tchouameni is always keen to take one on. Available at odds-against to do something he has now done in six straight competitive starts for France, it is hard to overlook this pick.

08 07 2024 FRANCE betbuilder stats pack SHOOTING

Spain vs france Goals and Assists Stats

Lamine Yamal well placed again here

Last time out we backed Lamine Yamal to score or assist at 3.0, and the Barcelona youngster did just that, setting up Dani Olmo for Spain’s opening goal in their quarter-final win. The 16-year-old has now assisted in three of his four starts at the finals. He has also hit a shot on target in three of his four starts and has the most combined xG and xA of any Spanish player at the tournament, with 3.5. With all that in mind, and Yamal’s price to score or assist being even greater this time around, at 3.40, he again looks like the best choice amongst Spain players here.

08 07 2024 SPAIN betbuilder stats pack GOALSCORING

Kylian Mbappe’s price too good to ignore

Mbappe has not had his best tournament by any stretch of the imagination, however, him being available to score or assist at 2.70 makes him a worthwhile choice here. France have struggled to score all tournament long, but Mbappe remains the only French player to do so, converting a penalty against Poland. He has averaged 0.64 xG per 90 and has had 1.67 shots on target per 90 at this Euros, all while creating 3.57 shots per 90 for his team-mates directly from his passes. If France do get a goal here, it would be a big surprise not to see Mbappe involved, either applying the finishing touch or setting up his team-mate to do the same.

08 07 2024 FRANCE betbuilder stats pack GOALSCORING

Spain Cards and Fouls Stats

Fabian Ruiz is a solid choice here

One of the stars of the tournament for Spain, Fabian Ruiz has been best known for his goal contributions, but he has been a solid pick in the fouls markets throughout this Euros. The PSG midfielder has fouled in all but one of his starts for Spain, only failing to do so in the opening game against Croatia. He fouled twice against Germany, and even managed a foul against Georgia despite Spain’s domination of possession. Ruiz has committed 1.0 fouls per 90, while his matchups, Aurelien Tchouameni and N’Golo Kante have won 0.95 and 0.20 fouls per 90 respectively. Ruiz can be backed to commit a foul at 1.30.

08 07 2024 SPAIN betbuilder stats pack CARDS FOR

Theo Hernandez the best pick to win a foul

Hernandez has started all five games for France at the finals and has been incredibly consistent in the fouls won markets, winning two fouls in all five contests. The AC Milan full back has therefore averaged 1.89 fouls won per 90 and has two strong matchups here in Lamine Yamal and Jesus Navas. Yamal has fouled in three of his four starts, at a rate of 1.39, while Navas has fouled once in his only start at the finals. Navas’ pace is not what it used to be, and he could well be forced into a foul with the rapid Hernandez bombing down the wing, while Yamal can sometimes be too keen to win the ball and dive in when defending. Both look like they could foul Hernandez here, so backing him to win two or more fouls again at 1.57 looks a solid pick.

08 07 2024 FRANCE betbuilder stats pack CARDS DRAWN

France Cards and Fouls Stats

Nice value on offer for William Saliba to foul

After making it through the first two games at the finals without fouling, Saliba has now fouled in three straight games, committing two last time out against Portugal and one against Poland and Belgium. He has averaged 0.75 fouls per 90 across the tournament as a whole but can be backed at a very high 1.67 to commit a foul here. The Arsenal man will be up against the wily Alvaro Morata and Nico Williams, who have drawn 1.47 and 0.57 fouls per 90 respectively. Morata won three fouls against Germany and has won a foul in three of his four starts at the finals, making Saliba an attractive option here.

08 07 2024 FRANCE betbuilder stats pack CARDS FOR

Rodri a great pick to win a foul

Rodri has gone under the radar as a to be fouled selection with the bookies, consistently sitting at 1.57 to be fouled once or more in each game at the finals. This is despite the Man City man drawing 1.63 fouls per 90, the third-most of any likely Spanish starter here. Rodri has won two or more fouls in three of his four starts, only not being fouled against Georgia, who allowed Spain to dominate the ball and simply close down shots rather than attempting to win it back. France’s midfield three have all committed over a foul per 90 at the finals, with Rabiot committing 1.47, Kante 1.20 and Tchouameni 1.19. It would be a huge shock for Rodri to come through this game without being fouled once, while there could be serious value to be found backing him to be fouled twice or more at 3.75 for the fourth time in five starts at Euro 2024.

08 07 2024 SPAIN betbuilder stats pack CARDS DRAWN

Spain vs France Matchups to watch

Fabian Ruiz v N’Golo Kante

Lamine Yamal v Theo Hernandez

Alvaro Morata v William Saliba

Rodri v Aurelien Tchouameni

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