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Tottenham vs Man City Stats Pack, Bet Builder Tips and Predictions

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Tottenham vs Man City

Calendar 14th May
Football icon kick off 20:00
Football icon Tottenham to commit 11+ Fouls
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Spurs have committed 11+ fouls in 7 of their last 10, and have committed 12+ in five straight games against opponents in the top seven.

Man City have won 13+ fouls in 3 of their last 4 on the road, and 11+ in 6 of their last 9 away league games.

Football icon Man City (-1 handicap)
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City have won 7 straight games, all 7 of which have been by at least a two-goal margin.

Spurs have lost 4 of their last 5, and 3 of these losses have been by at least 2 goals.

Football icon Kevin De Bruyne to have 1+ shots on target
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De Bruyne hits 1.10 shots on target per 90 in the PL, the third-most of any City player.

He has had at least 1 shot on target in 5 of his last 6 league starts, taking at least 2 shots in 5 of these 6 games, and 3 or more in 4 of the 6.

Football icon Josko Gvardiol to be fouled 1+ times
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Gvardiol has been fouled in 4 of his last 5 games against sides currently in the top half of the Premier League, including once in City’s visit to Spurs in the FA Cup.

He is up against Dejan Kulusevski and Pedro Porro, who sit in Spurs’ top five for fouls per 90 in the PL (1.77 and 1.02 respectively).

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Man City find themselves one point behind Arsenal and they must win this game to regain top spot heading into the final game of the season on Sunday.

The Tottenham Hotspur Stadium has not traditionally been a happy hunting ground for the treble winners; only scoring their first goal at the ground and breaking their losing hoodoo earlier this season when City won 1-0 in the FA Cup. 

For the hosts, the top four is still technically within reach, but they realistically must win this game to stand any chance of overhauling Aston Villa on the season’s final day.

With the reigning champions facing West Ham at home on the final day, this may be the last chance for Arsenal to snatch the title from their grasp. It should be a fantastic game with plenty of intriguing betting angles.

If you’re getting involved with a Tottenham vs Man City bet builder, read through our heavily researched tips and carefully crafted bet builder above and back yourself a Tuesday night bet builder.

Our Stats Pack Guide will help you extract value from the data in this piece.

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Tottenham vs Man City Predicted Lineups

More left back experimentation from Ange

Micky van de Ven was briefly tested as a left back by the Spurs boss at the weekend but it looks as though Emerson Royal will return at left back for this one, meaning Oliver Skipp will drop to the bench once more. Rodrigo Bentancur will be replacing the injured Yves Bissouma for this one. With Timo Werner still out, Dejan Kulusevski should start again on the left, and the rest of the side will be unchanged from the 2-1 win over Burnley.

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few tweaks for City

Nathan Ake’s muscle injury means Pep Guardiola will be forced into a change here, with Kyle Walker expected to start on the right of a three-man defence. Guardiola will likely move to a 3-2-4-1 formation, something he has used on multiple occasions this season. This will see Jeremy Doku brought in on the left, with Phil Foden switching over to the right. John Stones returns to his role in defensive midfield with Rodri.

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Tottenham vs Man City Team Stats

Expect plenty of fouls from the hosts

Across the entire season, Spurs have committed 11.2 fouls per game in the Premier League, while the visitors have drawn 10.7. Ange Postecoglou’s side have committed 11 or more fouls in seven of their last 10 in the Premier League. They have faced a side in the top seven five times in this run, committing at least 12 fouls in each of these five games. City meanwhile have seen 13 or more fouls committed against them in three of their last four away games, and 11 or more fouls in six of their previous nine on the road. We like the look of Spurs to commit 11+ fouls, which can be backed at 1.73 here.

5 14 2024 TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR betbuilder stats pack TEAM STATS

Comfortable win expected for City

Man City are on their traditional late-season roll, having won seven straight in the Premier League, and being unbeaten since December 6th, when they lost to Aston Villa. These seven wins have seen the reigning champions score four or more goals six times, and they have now kept three clean sheets in their last four league games. Spurs meanwhile have struggled, losing four of their last five. Spurs have lost three of these four by at least two goals, while City have won all seven by a minimum of two goals. We’re backing Man City to win comfortably here, so the best value looks to be backing them to win with a -1 goal handicap at 1.91.

14 05 2024 MANCHESTER CITY betbuilder stats pack TEAM STATS

Tottenham vs Man City shots and shots on target stats

Nice value offered by Brennan Johnson

Johnson may not have scored in six Premier League appearances, but that is not for lack of trying. The Wales international takes 2.26 shots per 90, and this amounts to 0.90 shots on target per 90, a strong conversion rate in the Premier League. Johnson has had at least one shot on target in five of his last seven league starts, including each of his last two. He has also had a shot on target in both the league meeting at the Etihad and the FA Cup game against Man City and offers strong value for another shot on target here at 2.25. 

5 14 2024 TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR betbuilder stats pack SHOOTING

Kevin De Bruyne offers nice value for a shot on target

De Bruyne ranks behind only Erling Haaland and Phil Foden in terms of shots on target per 90 in the Premier League for Man City this season, at 1.10. The Belgium international has had at least one effort on target in five of his last six league starts, notching two or more three times. He has taken at least two shots in five of these six, with three or more shots in four, and in a must-win game, he will never be afraid to take a shot when the space opens up. Backing him at 1.50 to have a shot on target in this form looks to be an easy choice here.

14 05 2024 MANCHESTER CITY betbuilder stats pack SHOOTING

Tottenham vs Man City goals and assists stats

Son to break City hearts again?

Son has been in solid form of late, managing to notch eight goal contributions in his last 10 games for Spurs despite their shaky form. That run has seen him score five goals and rack up three assists, while none of the other three members of the Lilywhites’ available front four have more than four goals or assists in their last 10 starts. He has form against City too, getting a goal and an assist at the Etihad earlier this season, and having scored or assisted in eight of his last 10 games against the champions. He can be backed to do so again at 2.63 here.

5 14 2024 TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR betbuilder stats pack GOALSCORING

Phil Foden the best choice here

Recently named the FWA Footballer of the Year, Phil Foden is having another stellar season for Man City, and the England international has been in scintillating goalscoring form of late. He has six goals in his last four league starts, scoring in three of these four. He was amongst the goals as City drew 3-3 with Spurs earlier this season, and has now had a shot on target in eight of his last nine league games, with two or more shots on target in six of these nine. Available at 2.38 to score anytime, he offers by far the best value of any City player here.

14 05 2024 MANCHESTER CITY betbuilder stats pack GOALSCORING

Tottenham CARDS AND FOULS stats

Out of Position Emerson a good value pick

With Destiny Udogie sidelined for the rest of the season, we could likely see Emerson Royal start at left back once again here. Emerson’s seasonal average of 1.10 fouls per 90 would make him an interesting option for a foul here by itself, however, the prospect of him lining up out of position to be matched with Phil Foden is what makes this a very solid option. He has committed three fouls in his two appearances at left back and facing Phil Foden who draws 1.85 fouls per 90, while playing out of position is an extremely daunting task. Emerson can be backed to commit one or more fouls at 1.40, which looks great value if he does start on the left-hand side.

5 14 2024 TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR betbuilder stats pack CARDS FOR

Man City’s left back sits just outside the top five for fouls won per 90 amongst likely starters, racking up 0.84 in the Premier League. The Croatia international has won a foul in four of his last five games against top-half Premier League opposition in all competitions, including winning one against Spurs in the FA Cup. He is up against Dejan Kulusevski here, who commits 1.77 fouls per 90 in the Premier League, the most of any Spurs player, which makes him a very appealing option at 1.67 to be fouled here.

14 05 2024 MANCHESTER CITY betbuilder stats pack CARDS DRAWN

Man City cards and fouls stats

Ruben Dias a strong option for City fouls

Dias commits 0.93 fouls per 90 in the Premier League, the third-most of any City player this season. The Portugal international has committed a foul in three of his last four games for the club, racking up five in total across this span. This is a solid record, and he has good matchups here too, up against Heung-min Son and James Maddison, who draw 1.21 and 3.17 fouls per 90 respectively, the fourth-most and most amongst likely Spurs starters. All that means Dias is very backable at 1.50 to commit a foul here.

14 05 2024 MANCHESTER CITY betbuilder stats pack CARDS FOR

City’s foul numbers are generally minuscule, committing just 7.64 per game in the Premier League, over two fouls less than Fulham who commit the second-least at 9.84. This means it is worth searching for value in the Spurs fouls won market, and Pape Sarr offers plenty. The Senegal international wins 0.70 fouls per 90 in the league and can be backed to be fouled at 2.40 here, despite winning three fouls in his last two games. His matchups also look good, up against Kevin De Bruyne and Rodri who both rank within the top five for fouls per 90 in the league for City. Those seeking a higher odds bet builder could do much worse than backing Sarr to be fouled at some point in this one.

5 14 2024 TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR betbuilder stats pack CARDS DRAWN

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