West Ham meet Newcastle at the London Stadium and the result will have implications at both ends of the table. The hosts claimed a slender 1-0 victory vs relegation rivals Southampton at the weekend. It was an uninspiring performance but a vital 3 points for David Moyes’ men. Newcastle, meanwhile, produced one of their best performances of the season against Man Utd and won 2-0 convincingly.
Looking to place a bet builder on the game? You’ve come to the right place. In this article I’ve compressed all the important stats from West Ham and Newcastle’s Premier League campaigns so far. That data alongside my Stats Pack Guide should help you pick the best value selections and come out with a bet builder winner.
The Hammers are expected to name the same XI that beat Southampton at the weekend. If there is temptation for change then it might come upfront where Michail Antonio could push Danny Ings out of the side. Thilo Kehrer might also be given a rest enabling Vladimir Coufal a way into the team at right back, but the German still looks set to start here.
Newcastle are also expected to name an unchanged team. The only injury doubt is Joe Willock who came off vs Man Utd but he reportedly only had cramp so should be able to feature. Joelinton would perhaps be a potential replacement if Willock isn’t deemed fit enough.
The likes of Alexander Isak and Jacob Murphy are currently preferred by manager Eddie Howe, so Wilson and Almiron will have to stay patient unless the away side want to freshen things up.
West Ham average 0.93 goals per game and have underachieved significantly compared to their xG of 1.29. Their xGA of 1.17 is very close to their goals conceded mark. The Hammers average more shots (12.67) than their opponents (11.70) but have conceded a large proportion of shots on target. They have lacked accuracy themselves, testing the keeper just 3.19 times per game.
David Moyes’ men average 5.48 corners per game which is slightly on the high side. They’ve only conceded 4.67 in each fixture and done well to limit their opponents in this regard. Cards have definitely been on the low side in West Ham games at just 2.74. The Hammers themselves have been an extremely clean team and racked up just 1.22 cards per game.
Newcastle average 1.52 goals per game and just 0.70 against. Their xG and xGA figures are fairly closely correlated. The Toon have only conceded 10.07 shots in each game which has helped their impressive defensive record. Nick Pope has had a strong season in goal but faced just 3.11 SOT per match.
The Tynesiders average a whopping 6.93 corners per game and just 4.33 against. They have an excellent set piece taker in Kieran Trippier, so the Toon will regularly play for corners or free kicks. Cards have flown readily in their games, averaging 1.78 themselves and 2.22 against.
Player Shots and Shots on Target
The theme with West Ham players is poor accuracy. Said Benrahma averages 3.08 shots per 90 mins but only a third of them have been on target. The trio of Paqueta, Ings and Bowen all average around 2 shots per game but only around 25% accuracy, which is disappointing. For those looking for players who might pull the trigger once in this game then Palmieri or Declan Rice could be worth considering.
Alexander Isak averages 3.21 shots per 90 mins with an impressive 1.67 on target. The two likely starters out wide St Maximin and Murphy are both averaging around two shots per 90 mins but with mediocre accuracy at best. Fabian Schar will try some attempts (1.68) and Bruno Guimaraes usually tries his luck at least once per match.
Player Goals and Assists
Said Benrahma and Jarrod Bowen lead the West Hams scoring charts, but only with 4 goals each. The simple fact is that the Hammers have lacked goals all season and nobody else really sticks out in this department. Benrahma also leads them with assists, but only has three. Bowen at times shows glimpses that he might be returning to form, but he is inconsistent.
Miguel Almiron leads Newcastle in the scoring charts but has only been used off the bench recently. The same can be said for Callum Wilson who actually netted vs Man Utd after coming on. Bruno Guimaraes is a key man for Newcastle and has weighed in with 3 goals and 3 assists.
Alexander Isak has managed to muscle his way in as the starting striker and scored 6 times, which is quite impressive from just 64 mins average play. Kieran Trippier has had an exceptional season and delivered 6 assists.
West Ham only average 43.50% possession and are known for sitting back and then counter-attacking under David Moyes. Midfielder Declan Rice is the obvious stand-out player for potential passes. He is the engine and heartbeat of the team and averages close to 60 passes per 90 mins, an impressive figure considering West Ham’s overall possession numbers.
Newcastle average 51% possession. Eddie Howe is the sort of manager who will adapt to different teams and situations. He has been gradually implementing a more ball-hungry style for the Toon but equally he’s happy to counter-attack when needed.
Four players who average close to, or above 50 passes per 90 mins are Kieran Trippier, Bruno Guimaraes, Fabien Schar and Sven Botman. Guimaraes especially is at the heart of the team and will readily get involved.
West Ham Cards and Fouls
The London outfit have been quite a clean team this season. Nobody has more than four cards with Paqueta, Kehrer, Coufal and Rice topping that list equally. Paqueta averages 2.18 fouls per 90 mins, whilst Kehrer is another candidate for fouls.
Declan Rice has generally played quite a clean game this season. For someone in his position, an average of just 0.74 fouls per 90 mins feels quite low.
The midfield duo of Bruno Guimaraes and Shaun Longstaff will be difficult matchups for West Ham. Guimaraes is fouled 2.72 times per 90 mins and he has a similar dribbling rate. Teams target him as the main man for Newcastle.
Both Saint-Maximin and Isak will also command attention. The former has a crazy high dribbling rate (7.50) and is very elusive. Isak also has high flair and skill and is becoming a real handful upfront for teams to deal with.
Match-Ups to Watch
Thilo Kehrer vs Allan Saint Maximin
Lucas Paqueta vs Shaun Longstaff
Declan Rice vs Bruno Guimaraes
Newcastle Cards and Fouls
Kieran Trippier is usually good for at least one foul per game. He is a clever and experienced operator who will ‘take one for the team’ if needed. Midfield is where a lot of the action is here, and Bruno Guimaraes averages 1.44 fouls per 90 mins. Joelinton is a foul and card banker should he start or come off the bench.
Jarrod Bowen is an elusive player and his high dribbling rate of 3.01 makes him an ideal foul magnet. The opposition will have to deal with him and Dan Burn could be in for a difficult evening.
Another player with a high dribbling rate (5.68) is Said Benrahma. He will have to be marshalled by Kieran Trippier. Danny Ings or Michail Antonio are both physical centre forwards and will be a handful for any of the Saints defenders to deal with.
Match-Ups to Watch
Kieran Trippier vs Said Benrahma
Dan Burn vs Jarrod Bowen
Bruno Guimaraes vs Lucas Paqueta
My Bet Builder Picks of the Pack
Taking a scroll through the data, there’s a few picks that stood out to me. I’ve put together a bet builder using the stats pack and it’s up on the Latest Football Tips page.