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West Ham vs Wolves
9th December
kick off 20:00 Over 2.5 Goals Jorgen Strand Larsen To Have 1+ Shots On Target Aaron Wan Bissaka To Have 1+ Shots Edson Alvarez To Be Fouled 1+ Times
Add To Betslip @ 9.05 in this article
Leg 1: Over 2.5 Goals
West Ham have not been prolific this season, but they have been scoring more of late, notching 5 goals in their last 3, and being desperately unlucky to score only once against Leicester in midweek after generating 3.0 xG.
They have also conceded plenty of goals, allowing 8 in their last 2 games. That makes attacking the over for goals an attractive option, as the Hammers have seen 3 or more goals in 6 of their last 8 games.
After a brief resurgence which saw them pick up their first 2 wins of the campaign, beating Southampton 2-0 and Fulham 4-1, Wolves have gone off the boil again, falling to a 4-2 home defeat against Bournemouth and losing 4-0 away at Everton on Wednesday.
Fortunately, even when Wolves do not score, they tend to concede enough goals to cash the higher goal lines, as happened in midweek. They have conceded 3 or more goals in 10 of their last 12 and over 2.5 goals has landed in 10 of these 11. Over 3.5 goals would have also landed in 8 of these 11.
Leg 2: Jorgen Strand Larsen To Have 1+ Shots ON Target
Larsen is one of only two Wolves players to be averaging over 1 shot on target per 90 this season, sitting just a shade over at 1.09. The only other Wolves player to do so is Mateus Cunha, who averages the same, but takes many more shots than Larsen to do so.
Larsen takes just 1.63 shots per 90, but 1.09 of these find their mark, an impressive shot accuracy rate of 66.7%, much better than would be expected of a guaranteed starter at his position.
He has now had at least one shot on target in 7 of his last 8 Premier League games, and in 11 of his 14 league starts for Wolves. Despite the two recent defeats, Larsen’s shooting numbers have been higher than usual across their last 2 games, taking 5 shots, with 3 of these being on target.
West Ham have allowed 4 or more shots on target in 6 of their last 7 games. With so few Wolves players offering a genuine goal threat, if Wolves can achieve a similar tally against this poor West Ham defence, Larsen to have a shot on target looks a good bet.
Leg 3: AARON wAN-bISSAKA tO hAVE 1+ shOTS
Aaron Wan-Bissaka’s goalscoring burst may have come to an end on Tuesday night as the Hammers fell to a 3-1 defeat at the hands of Leicester City, but we believe backing him at evens to have another shot here represents great value.
Wan-Bissaka has now had at least 1 shot in 3 straight games for West Ham. With 2 of his 4 shots resulting in a goal, there seems to be little reason to expect the defender to stop getting as involved in the attacking phase here. He has taken 1 or more shots in 6 of his last 9 starts for West Ham and needs just one here to cash this bet.
Wolves not only offer up plenty of shooting opportunities to their opponents, they also allow shots from all over the park, including from full-back. In their last 6 Premier League games, opposition right-backs have taken 5 shots, with 4 of the 6 right-backs or right-wing-backs taking a shot when facing Gary O’ Neil’s troubled side.
lEG 4: eDSON aLVAREZ tO bE fOULED 1+ tIMES
Another promising high-odds selection is Edson Alvarez to be fouled at least once in this game. The Mexico international has had a stop-start season, mostly thanks to picking up 2 red cards and having to serve the resulting suspensions.
He has been fouled 1.17 times per 90 in the Premier League this season, despite playing 45 minutes or fewer in 5 of his 10 appearances. Across his last 3 West Ham games, Alvarez has been fouled 4 times in just 179 minutes of action, an average of 2.01 fouls drawn per 90. He has also now been fouled in 3 of his last 5 West Ham appearances.
Alvarez’s main matchup here will be Joao Gomes, who has committed a team-high 2.20 fouls per 90 this season. Andre, Wolves’ other central midfielder, is no slouch in the fouling department either, committing 1.16 fouls per 90.
Gomes has fouled twice or more in 4 straight Premier League games for Wolves. He has also fouled in 6 of his 7 away games in the league. Andre has fouled twice or more in 2 of his last 3 away starts in the league, so Alvarez looks to have every chance to be fouled at least once here.
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West Ham vs Wolves Predicted Lineups
West Ham vs Wolves Team Stats
West Ham vs Wolves Shots and Shots on Target Stats
West Ham vs Wolves Goals and Assists Stats
West Ham Cards and Fouls Stats
Wolves Cards and Fouls Stats
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