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We are entering historic territory at Wimbledon as the quarter-finals get underway on Day 9. Iga Swiatek takes on Elina Svitolina, Jessica Pegula meets Marketa Vondrousova, Novak Djokovic plays Andrey Rublev and Jannik Sinner faces Roman Safiullin, with the rest of the round to be played out on Day 10. The nature of this period of the tournament gives us the opportunity to really hone in on individual matches for our Wimbledon predictions, rather than scouring a large sample for value.
Vondrousova has been scintillating at her best across the course of her career but has not previously shown grass court form to this extent, leading to Pegula being the rightful favourite despite the capabilities of the Czech. Sinner’s quality is undeniable and he produced a very professional display to get past Daniel Elahi Galan in the previous round, where over 29.5 games landed comfortably for us. Safiullin has been one of the surprise packages of Wimbledon 2023 since beating in-form Spaniard Roberto Bautista Agut in round 1, and the Russian will embrace the underdog tag once again.
It is hard to look too far away from the top seeds on Day 9 given how well they have handled pressure moments at Wimbledon, but also over the last 12 months. With more dangerous players on the opposite side of the draw to Djokovic and Swiatek it would take a brave person to write them off at this stage.
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Belinda Bencic started the fire
Iga Swiatek survived two match points in her fourth round victory over Belinda Bencic in a challenging match. It was the personification of the response of a champion, and there was only one winner after the two opportunities had passed, due to great play from Swiatek rather than any lack of nerve from the Swiss.
Determination, relief but maybe most importantly belief was clear to see at the end of the match, as the 22-year-old booked her place in the last eight for the first time at the All England Club. Elina Svitolina is having a great year, has been great to watch in SW19, but is ultimately opposable putting all emotion aside for our Wimbledon predictions. The Ukrainian came through a match-deciding tiebreak to beat Victoria Azarenka in a true Wimbledon epic last time out.
The emotional and physical expense from that match could impact Svitolina’s performance in the quarter-finals, and the Pole won the only previous meeting between the pair in straight sets back in 2021. You have to wonder how much Svitolina has left in the tank after the victory over Azarenka and despite immense resilience, there is a strong chance that she struggles to lay a glove on Swiatek who will be desperate to avoid the nervy nature of her win over Bencic. The top seed has stood firm so far and we can see her progressing in straight sets.
Side with Djokovic to complete muggy double
It is always fun to research some longer odds options in the outright market ahead of and during tennis tournaments, but the unflappable Serb Novak Djokovic has looked every bit the odds-on favourite since the event began. Djokovic only broke serve once in his four-set victory over Hubert Hurkacz in the fourth round, but in the end, that merely showcased the grit and steel that the 36-year-old still has over the rest of the field.
Andrey Rublev had to grind his way past Alexander Bublik in five sets in the last round, to make the Wimbledon last eight for the first time and he is someone who is opposable for our Wimbledon predictions. The Russian produced one of the best shots the championships has ever seen towards the end of the match, and brushed it off as pure luck in his typically modest and likeable post-match on-court interview.
Djokovic has not dropped a set to Rublev in their three previous meetings off of clay, and that appears to be the most likely outcome once again, with Rublev in unfamiliar territory at the All England Club. We will be combining two bullish selections on the top seeds for our day 9 Wimbledon predictions.
Wimbledon Day 9 Double
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Wimbledon Day 9
11th July
start time 11:00 Iga Swiatek (-1.5) Set Handicap Novak Djokovic (-2.5) Set Handicap
