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Hour glass kick off 14:00 13 Aug

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Brentford vs Tottenham

Calendar 13th August
Football icon kick off 14:00
Football icon Over 1.5 goals
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This game sees last year’s 8th placed team host 9th in a game which mirrors the final day. A game which saw Brentford run out 3-1 winners in what proved to be Harry Kane’s last league appearance in a Spurs shirt.

Brentford games at Home saw an average of 2.79 goals. O1.5 goals occurred in 89% of the time, joint second highest along with West Ham and only bested by Arsenal and Manchester City, pretty good company if you ask me.

The Bees will miss top scorer Toney through suspension. But despite Toney’s absence, Brentford have shown that they have goals in game without him.

Toney missed 5 games last year, Nottingham Forest, Liverpool, West Ham, Spurs, and Man City. These games finished 2-2, 3-1, 2-0, 3-1, and 1-0 respectively. 4 of the 5 saw O1.5 and you could argue the final day of the season was an outlier with nothing to play for.

Last year Spurs were no stranger to goals themselves. A league high 3.74 games in their away fixtures which saw O1.5 in 84% of games on the road. Spurs don’t defend on the road, managing just 4 clean sheets from 19 away games. Additionally BTTS came in 68% of Spurs away games, also satisfying the O1.5 goal mark.

As with Brentford above, Spurs also start the new season without last year’s top scorer. Kane is off to Bavaria, but unlike Toney, Kane’s absence represents something of an unknown. Kane played all 38 games for the North London side last year so it’s unclear how they will shape up without him. That doesn’t change the frailty of the back line so I still think we’re on for O1.5 goals.

Rennes vs Metz

Calendar 13th August
Football icon kick off 16:05
Football icon Rennes to win
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Rennes wrapped up their campaign with 4 straight wins, resulting in a 4th place finish in Ligue Une. Ahead of the likes of Lille, Monaco, and Lyon.

Rennes scored the 3rd most goals last year (68) and were incredible at home, taking 45 points from a possible 57, second only to Lens and 4 points ahead of champions PSG.

Rennes’ key man last year was Amine Gouiri. Following his £24m transfer from Nice, the French winger chipped in with 15 goals and 3 assists from 33 games, with no penalties to pad those numbers out. The 23 year old will look to kick on from here against a recently promoted side.

Metz’ may have secured promotion with a second place finish in the league below last year however they have shown that they really can’t compete at the top level in France. Metz recorded the 3rd lowest point tally last time around and failed to score a single goal in 47% of their away fixtures.

To make matters worse, Metz sold defensive midfielder Boubacar Traore to Wolves. It was Traore’s efforts screening the defense which played a large role in their promotion season and his influence will be sorely missed against Rennes.

Rennes have won each of the last 5 against Metz with an aggregate score of 14-2. Two seasons ago, this fixture produced a 6-1 thrashing, contributing to Metz’ relegation in 2021/22.

Stake £18
Potential Returns £33
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