PSG vs Bayern
Achraf Hakimi averages 1.31 fouls p/90 this season for PSG.
He has made at least 1 foul in each of his last 5 matches. In those 5 matches, twice he has managed a huge 4 fouls (somehow escaping a booking).
Up against either Kingsley Coman or Leroy Sane against Bayern, they’re fouled on average 1.57 and 1.18 times p/90. To make matters worse, Alphonso Davies plays on the overlap and is fouled an extra 1.29 times p/90.
Those players are dribble kings, averaging 5.78, 5.51 and 5.61 attempted dribbles p/90. That’s a handful or two for the Moroccan.
Joao Cancelo will have similar problems whether he starts at left back or right back, with the likes of Lionel Messi and Neymar versatile forwards. Not to mention the likes of Nuno Mendes and Achraf Hakimi on the overlap.
Considering Cancelo likes to invert into the midfield too, he’s likely going to find himself tracking back and will be forced into the nitty gritty of both the middle grounds and the wings. Action = fouls.
He’s already made 2 fouls in his 3 appearances for Bayern, at an average of 1.33 p/90.
At City, he averaged a generous 0.92 fouls p/90 too this season, and received 4 cards including 1 red.
Goretzka is going to have some task in a defensive role holding the midfield alongside Joshua Kimmich.
It’s a role he’s used to filling, but his physicality has been a little too much, and no other Bayern player averages more fouls p/90 than him (1.42).
Up against a dynamic front 3 of likely Vitinha, Messi and most importantly Neymar. They average 0.64, 1.54 and a whopping 3.80 fouls drawn p/90.
Neymar is one of, if not the best player in the world to draw fouls alongside Jack Grealish. Let’s not forget when he was fouled 9 times against Serbia at the World Cup. That’s Goretzka’s job in this match.
AC Milan vs Tottenham
Perhaps a surprise here, but after he committed 4 fouls in just 78 minutes against Leicester you’ll see why. Prior to that, he’d committed 2 fouls against City and Preston, and another against Fulham. He’s on a streak.
Overall, he averages 1.18 fouls p/90 for Tottenham this season, and I fancy him to get stuck in again against Milan.
In his last season in Serie A, facing Italian opposition of course, he was averaging 3.37 fouls p/90.
Up against the likes of Theo Hernandez and Rafael Leao when he tracks back, they are fouled on average 2.24 and 1.01 times p/90.
Tonali has quite a responsibility and big boots to fill with the absence of Ismail Bennacer.
Over the last two games without his midfield partner, the Italian has made 4 fouls.
Tonali has 6 bookings in Serie A this season, and averages 1.09 fouls p/90.
Conte’s midfield like to get stuck in and get physical too, with Pape Sarr filling in for the absence of Bentancur, Hojberg and Bissouma. He’s been fouled exactly twice and made exactly two dribbles per 90 minutes of Premier League action this season.
Not to mention Kane dropping deep, another 1.40 fouls drawn p/90, and Emerson off the right flank with another 1.80 fouls drawn.
And what happened last time Milan hosted a London team? Tonali made a hefty 5 fouls against Chelsea.