4/1 European Result Acca

In form Aston Villa visit Nott’m forest for this PL clash.

Villa are coming into this game on the back of quite some run. They’ve won 5 of their last 6 games, drawing 1.

What is very impressive is that they’ve scored an astonishing 19 goals in that time. An average of 3.16 goals per game, scored.

Nottm Forest couldn’t be any further away from that form. They’ve not won a game since 2nd September, which was 7 games ago. Only scoring 5 goals in 7 games (0.71 goals per game).

When we look at xG, Villa are at 1.73 in comparison to Forest’s 1.09, which in terms of goals means that Villa are closer to scoring 2 goals a game and Forest just the one.

I’ve gone for Aston Villa Draw no Bet here because the odds were very good for what it is. Villa only need to draw and this leg will be void. The stats and form suggest that Villa will blow forest away.

There’s never a good time to play Bodo in Norway but Stabaek are unbeaten in their last 4 Eliteserien games.

Despite these results, Stabaek are the division’s second lowest scorers – 28 in 26 games.

Finishing has been an issue for the hosts, 1.08 goals per game from an xG of 1.40 leaves something to be desired.

Combine this with giving up 1.54 goals from 1.74 xG to opponents and they could be in real trouble against the league leaders.

Bodo are the top scorers in the division with 69 goals in 26 games (2.65gpg).

Bodo have won each of their last 4 league games, scoring 2+ goals in each of their last 5 league matches.

Last season, Bodo won this fixture 0-3 and the reverse 4-0. The reigning champions have not failed to beat Stabaek in the last two seasons.

With this year’s title not quite secured, Bodo Glimt need to keep winning, and that’s what I think will happen in this one.

The Hatters have really struggled to adapt to the intensity of the Premier League.

18th with a record of 1:2:7 is not the start many Hatters would have hoped for if they wanted to remain in the division.

At Home, Luton are winless, losing three and drawing one game. They are also the lowest scorers at home, with just 3 goals scored.

Luton are winless in 4 and without a clean sheet in all 10 league games.

The theme of coming back from behind is a thing of the past for Klopp as his Liverpool side have scored first in 5/6 of their games.

Luton, on the other hand, have conceded first in 8 of their last 9.

The Reds have won 5/6 of their first halves to boot.

It’s a simple case of Liverpool having too much firepower for Luton, hold onto your hats!

Hvidovre come into game 14 bottom of the Superlia. The only winless side in the Danish top flight.

They have scored the fewest goals scored (5) and the most conceded (26) in the Superliga.

Hvidovre have lost each of the last 4 games, conceding an average of 3 goals over this period.

Manager Per Frandsen has tried a number of different tactics, 3-5-2, 4-3-3, 5-3-2, 3-1-4-2, nothing seems to be working for The Old Giants.

Midtjylland are fairing comparatively better. 4th in the league with the 5th highest goal tally and 5th fewest goals conceded.

Midtjylland are unbeaten in their last 7 league matches, dating back to August.

The away side ran our 1-0 victors in the previous meeting earlier in the campaign. Although this scoreline flatters Hvidovre as Midtjylland recorded 20 shots and an xG of 3.36.

I can’t see any change in Hvidovre’s fortunes this time around, Midtjylland win is on the cards for sure.