3/1 Sunday European acca

BTTS has happened in 80% of their home games this season. (4 in 5 games at home).

Cambuur who are 9th in the league are actually 3rd highest in Europe for BTTS which is pretty impressive. BTTS in 92% of their games which is quite incredible considering they’re 13 games in. (12 of 13 games both teams have scored).

I love it when you have teams who can score but always concede too. They really make for exciting matches but great to add into your bets, so I have.

So the stats here really do favour both teams scoring, and with it priced at 1.5 for the selection, it was just too good to not include in the acca.

Brighton have had a mixed season so far this time round. The introduction of European football has played a part of the mixed fortunes for sure.

Despite overall results not going their way, they are still a cut above their visitors Sheffield United, who are having an abysmal season.

A last minute winner gave them a victory over a lacklustre Wolves team in their last PL game but other than that, it’s been heavy defeats (inc 5-0 loss to Arsenal, 8-0 loss to Newcastle, 3-1 loss to Fulham).

Sheffield have the worst record in the PL. 4 points from 11 games and have conceded 30 goals in that time (2.7 goals conceded per game).

Brighton pick up on avg. 1.83 points per home game and score 2.33 goals per home game. They’re actually over performing their xG too which is 2.01 at home.

Games at the American Express Stadium see on avg. 3.83 goals per game.

Top of the league Bayern Leverkusen welcome a struggling Union Berlin to BayArena in what looks to be a complete mismatch.

Leverkusen are starting to look like legitimate title challengers this season under Xabi Alonso who has got them playing some wonderful football this season.

At home, Leverkusen home won every single game (5), scoring an incredible 17 goals and only conceding 5 (3.4 team goals scored per game avg).

By contrast, Union Berlin are in shocking league form. Even their surprising draw vs Napoli in the CL probably won’t do much for them when they play Bayern.

Union find themselves 16th in the Bundesliga having amassed only 6 points in 10 games. Their goal difference is -11 because they ship in goals.

They’ve lost their last 8 games, conceding 20 goals (avg. 2.5 goals conceded per game).

When you see that Bayern at home are averaging a max 3 points per game to Union’s 0.60 points per away game, I can’t see this going any other way than a home win with plenty of goals scored.

Here we have a classic ‘top of the table vs bottom of the table’ clash.

Bodo-glimt are absolutely flying in the league. 27 games played and 9 points clear. In that time, they’ve scored a whopping 73 goals. That’s a rate of 2.7 goals scored per game. With a league leading xG of 2.33 it is no surprise that they find the net so often.

Aelesunds look set to finish rock bottom of the league. They’ve earned only 18 points in 27 games. Conceded 64 games along the way. They have the highest negative goal difference by quite some way (-42).

Bodo haven’t lost a game since August. Over 2.5 goals have happened in 74% of their fixtures this season. For Aelesunds, you;ll find that they alone concede on average 2.37 goals per match.

You’d find it difficult to find a fixture which will be more one sided than this. I just cannot see anything other than a Bodo win with plenty of goals. It’s David v Goliath in terms of stats, form, quality and strength.