Newcastle vs Aston Villa
In the home dressing room, The Toon top the Premier League for corners forced at home. The 9.00 corners forced per90 on home turf is higher than the likes of Manchester City (7.83) and Liverpool (7.83) in second. So, bearing that in mind, Over 4.5 Home Corners shouldn’t be too much of an ask.
With a forward line enjoying a collective rich vein of form, spearheaded by Miguel Almiron, who looks like a completely different player with a shower of confidence engulfing his game, that Aston Villa backline should struggle to contain them.
It’s Unai Emery’s Aston Villa now, a squad full of talent and equipped with the depth in numbers to make a real go of Premier League football. Like the 4-0 Brentford showing last week, expect confidence in Aston Villa’s game as the on-field eleven seek to impress their new manager. It may not be enough to clinch the win against a Newcastle United side who have conceded the fewest goals in the league under Eddie Howe, but they should prove capable of sustained pressure in the final third.
With that in mind, we can assume that Aston Villa threatens Newcastle’s goal. A byproduct of said pressure? Corners. This season, Villa are averaging 5.00 corners per90 from six away matches – the seventh-highest total in the division. With the very real potential of going behind at St. James’ Park, the Over 2.5 Away Corners presents an interesting inclusion to the treble.
Fulham vs Everton
Marco Silva returns to face his old club for the first time in the Premier League since his departure. No doubt that’ll add some spice to proceedings, as both Fulham and Everton arrive on Saturday ranking in the Premier League’s top five teams for ill-discipline this season. In addition, we have the fourth-most frivolous referee in terms of yellow card averages in the top flight. In the middle, John Brooks’ 4.20 yellow cards per90 average falls behind only Bankes, Pawson, and Tierney in 2022/23.
Fulham’s 2.42 cards per90 average in the Premier League this season is the fourth-highest total in the division. At 2.58 per90, The Toffees out-do their Saturday opponents, perhaps creating the perfect storm to feed into the prospect of Brooks’ little black book filling up in the capital. So, Over 3.5 Cards is the initial step into the Premier League’s 17:45 fixture.
First of all, in what seems like a good place to start – Fulham have overseen Over 1.5 Goals in 11/12 matches following promotion. That’s more than any Premier League club, with Arsenal and Manchester City’s 10/11 matches just behind.
With Aleksandar Mitrovic primed and ready to add to his nine goals in eleven matches and Fulham scoring two or more goals in 5/6 at Craven Cottage, the hosts should keep their end of the bargain. For Everton, Dominic Calvert-Lewin is back with a point to prove. It could be too late to clinch a spot on the plane to Qatar, but that certainly won’t stop him from trying. However, Everton have won only 2/23 of previous Premier League away games. If The Toffees are to find joy in London, they’ll likely need to stump up more than a solitary goal.
Liverpool vs Leeds
It’s a stop-start period for Jurgen’s Reds. They desperately need to locate a consistency in their game that’ll ensure they keep pace with the leading lights in the division. After their impressive win against an unbeaten Manchester City, a visit to The City Ground on the banks of the River Trent saw Liverpool vacate Nottingham with nothing but a whimper.
Ajax followed in the Champions League, comfortably dispatched 0-3 in the end, although Amsterdam’s best should’ve been at least two goals to the good by the half-time whistle. Back at Anfield, a wounded, stuttering Leeds United create the next obstacle between Liverpool and three points. It’s one that the home side should be able to take a hop, skip and jump over, considering the recent form of the Elland Road outfit.
Calls for Jesse Marsch’s head intensify as the powers that be at Leeds United dampen any questions over the American’s tenure with confirmation they’re behind their new manager. But, if that backing is to continue, results must improve quickly. Six losses in eight winless matches paint the miserable backdrop to the trip to Merseyside.
Liverpool should start fast on Saturday evening after an impressive result during the week, and don’t be surprised if they have enough to register a goal in both halves. Only one fixture from six of Anfield’s Premier League displays has ended 0-0 at the break, with Liverpool holding the lead in 2/6. Interestingly, Leeds’ average time on the clock for conceding the first goal this season comes in at 41:60 away from home, up from 21:00 minutes at Elland Road.
Onlookers of Premier League football will know Anfield is no place for a weary traveller hoping to drag themselves out of a slump. If the stars fail to align again and we see more of the same from Leeds, fear for Jesse Marsch’s eleven.