Millwall vs Huddersfield
Millwall host Huddersfield as they look to continue their impressive recent form which has seen them move up to 6th and grab hold of the final play-off position having now opened up a 4 point gap from Norwich in 7th.
Their home form has unpinned their success, only 4 sides have taken more points at home than Millwall this season and they’ve lost just 3 games at The Den this season, a number that can only be bettered by Burnley & Middlesbrough.
Gary Rowett’s side are tough, rugged and very difficult to break down. They’ve conceded less than a goal a game at home and they’ve got plenty of attacking threat. Tom Bradshaw’s 14 goals have been vital but the performances of Zian Flemming have been the key, his 13 goals and 2 assists have been the driving force of creativity in this side.
Huddersfield are having a nightmare. Neil Warnock has came in and things haven’t improved (imagine my shock). As much as I love and respect Warnock, bringing in a 74 year old gaffer when you’re staring relegation in the face maybe isn’t a wise choice.
Huddersfield’s away form is abysmal. That’s the real kicker here – they’ve won just 2 away games this season. They’ve lost their last 4 on the road without mustering up a single goal.
They’ve averaged just 0.36 xG in their last 4 away games. If you’re not in to your metrics, basically, they’re hopeless at creating chances.
Should be a comfortable home win here for Millwall as they consolidate their play-off hopes.
Plymouth vs Forest Green
Plymouth have huffed and puffed recently and with Sheff Wed running faultlessly; Argyle are now 3 points off the top. There’s not a better game to get back on track though, which they need to do. Far from worrying about Wednesday, they’ve got Ipswich breathing down their neck to take an automatic promotion place.
Home Park has been an absolute haven for Plymouth, I’m surprised they’re not even shorter than they are to win this one. 16 wins, 1 draw & 1 loss from 18 home games is a remarkable return, in fact, it’s the best in the league.
FGR are rock bottom, having won just 5 matches all season. It’s been an incredibly difficult step up from League Two. They’ve won just 1 away game this campaign and only one side has conceded more goals on their travels. Not ideal when heading to the strongest home side there is.
They’ve scored a measly 15 goals too, one of the lowest outputs in the league. The reality is the jump from League 2 to League 1 now is pretty vast, sides like Plymouth, Ipswich and Sheff Wed are lightyears away from a side like Forest Green. It’s a shame in a lot of ways but the wage demands to compete are huge.
Ryan Hardie’s 13 goals this season have spearheaded the promotion push. By comparison, just 3 players in the FGR team have scored more than 1 goal and their top scorer has managed just 5 goals.
Plymouth swept this opposition aside 3-0 in the reverse fixture. A pummelling could well be on the cards here.
Bromley vs Wrexham
I think nearly every winning Boosted Treble I’ve had, has featured Wrexham. The Hollywood owned club, hated by many, are a belter to include in your bets. They’re an absolute winning machine.
The fame and funding has allowed them to build a side brimming with League 1 & 2 quality players like Paul Mullin, Ollie Palmer and Ben Tozer just to name a few.
Wrexham haven’t lost a league match since the beginning of October, away to Notts County who are the only side remotely comparable in quality.
They’re pushing Wrexham all the way and there’s a good chance both sides break 100 points. It’s crucial that the Welsh side continue to pick up positive results as just 1 point separates the 2 sides on 91 & 90 points, with a remarkable 22 point gap back to 3rd placed Woking.
Bromley are 39 points behind Wrexham and sit in 10th. Just 1 win in their last 5 has saw them drop 8 points behind the play offs.
They don’t lose many at home, recently. With just 1 defeat in 11 at home. But I guess it depends how you interpret that, as it’s also true that they’ve won only 2 in 10 at home, with 8 games finishing as a draw.
Wrexham have won 7 of their last 8 on the road and scored 2 or more goals in each of those games. Last time out they put a Dag & Red side, who were in good form, to the sword as they ran out 4-0 winners.
Wrexham are a winning machine right now and I can’t see how an out of sorts Bromley stop that.