Brest vs Troyes
Both Brest and Troyes have served us well in recent weeks for our Boosted Goals Treble, with the former’s 2-1 loss to PSG last Saturday landing us a winner. I’m after more of the same from these two, and this time, we only need 2 goals.
Brest aren’t exactly the first team that comes to mind when you think of goals, but up against a Troyes side with the second worst defence in Ligue 1, a minimum of 2 here is certainly doable. The away side have scored 28 and conceded 44 for an average of 2.67 match goals this season.
As mentioned above, Troyes have been ever-presents towards the top of a number of goal related charts this season. They’ve bagged 36, and conceded 59 in their 27 fixtures, an average of 3.52 goals per game.
This is a selection that’s landed in 70% of Brest’s fixtures, and in 89% of Troyes’. With both sides showing healthy both teams to score hit rates as well (59% and 74%) we could be in for a treat here.
Troyes have been reliable for over 1.5 goals, with this selection landing in 10 of their last 11. They’ve scored in 20 of their 27 fixtures and have kept just a singular clean sheet which certainly bodes well.
This selection has landed in 5 of Brest’s last 6 games. They’ve kept just 5 clean sheets this season, and have scored or conceded twice on 17 occasions.
The last meeting between these two finished 2-1 and more of the same would be welcome here.
Ajax vs Feyenoord
2nd hosts 1st in this highly anticipated Eredivisie matchup, and with two just 3 points apart goals should be a given.
Ajax have been one of the single best teams in Europe this season when it comes to goals. Domestically, they’ve scored 70 and conceded 25 for an average 3.80 goals per game.
League leaders Feyenoord love a goal or two themselves, highlighted by their 7-1 demolition of Shakhtar on Thursday. In the league, they’ve scored 56 and conceded 23 for a 3.16 match goal average.
Both sides stand out in the relevant goal markets. Ajax have seen a minimum of 3 goals in 68% of their games, and although that exact selection has only landed in 52% of Feyenoord’s fixtures, there’s every chance this lands when they step up against quality opponents.
Encouraging are the ‘both teams to score’ hit rates for both sides as well. They sit at 68% and 60% respectively, and with the regular goal output of both sides, you would expect both teams scoring to lead to an over 2.5 win.
Over 2.5 has landed in 6 of Ajax’s last 7. They’ve failed to score just once all season and ave scored or conceded twice on 18 occasions.
Despite Feyenoord’s relatively tame over 2.5 success rate of 52%, they’ve seen that average increase slightly of late. A minimum of 3 goals have been scored in 6 of their last 8, and that trend should continue against Ajax. Much like their opponents, they’ve also failed to score in just 1 of their 25 league games.
Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich
The Bundesliga served us well last weekend when it came to our goals treble, and I’m looking towards it again for the final game of this week’s bet as we look to make it 2 wins in a row.
Leverkusen vs Bayern, both teams that have been fantastic for goals this season, and Bayern in particular have been devastating in that department. Bayern have scored a staggering 71 goals, and conceded 25 in their 24 games so far this season (4.00 goals per game average).
Xabi Alonso’s Leverkusen side are no slouches either when it comes to goals, with 43 scored and 39 conceded for an average of 3.39 goals per match.
2+ goals and even 3+ goals are targets that both sides have hot regularly this season. Hosts Leverkusen have seen 92% of their games land for over 1.5 goal, and 67% for over 2.5. Bayern have a 96% success rate for over 1.5 goals, and have seen 3 or more in 63% of their fixtures.
Both teams to score has been a relatively profitable selection for both sides as well, with Leverkusen both scoring and conceding in 54% of their games, and Bayern in 63%. A goal for both sides would put us in good stead here.
Over 2.5 goals has landed in 4 of Leverkusen’s last 5. They’ve failed to score on 6 occasions, and kept just 5 clean sheets. They’ve either scored or conceded at least twice on 20 occasions.
Bayern have seen a minimum of 3 goals in each of their last 6, with their most recent game being a barnstorming 5-3 win against Augsburg. They’ve failed to score just once all season, and have scored at least 2 in 18 of their 24 games.
The last meeting between these two finished 4-0, a good omen perhaps