Leeds vs Nottingham Forest
Leeds’ Rodrigo is the player who I’m backing to have a shot on target. He’s by far their biggest goal threat having scored 11 times in 21 appearances this season, a return that’s impressive it must be said.
Rodrigo has had more shots than any other Leeds player, and he’s also had more on target. He’s averaging a large 3.49 shots per 90 minutes with a respectable 1.32 of those hitting the target.
Rodrigo has had at least one shot on target in six of his last nine starts for Leeds United.
First player picked for fouls is Leeds’ centre half Pascal Struijk. He comes at a relatively decent price and he’s a defender who’s always capable of something clumsy at the back. Against the likes of Dennis, Johnson and Gibbs-White, I fancy the chances of a foul.
Struijk is averaging 1.27 fouls P/90 which is at the level that you’d want it to be at, and it’s also worth knowing that he committed two fouls and was ultimately booked in the reverse fixture at the City ground.
Marc Roca is the next Leeds player that I fancy for a foul in their midfield.
Roca is averaging 1.32 fouls per 90 minutes in the league this season, a tad better than Struijk but they’re both fantastic options. The Spaniard has committed at least one foul in six of his last eight starts.
Right, Forest’s Neco Williams to commit a couple of fouls looks like excellent value, I’m all over it.
Neco Williams should be at right-back, and he’ll likely be up against Crysencio Summerville who’s fouled 2.81 times per 90 mins in the Premier League. Williams is averaging 1.60 fouls P/90 so I’m envisioning an interesting battle between the pair should they meet.
Williams committed a foul and was booked in the last meeting between these two clubs in February, but I think we can squeeze two fouls out of him tonight. Interestingly, Williams has committed 2+ fouls in five of the seven away matches he’s started this season.