Leicester vs Aston Villa
Hosts Leicester are averaging 3.14 goals per game in the Premier League this season, that’s the 5th highest goals average in the league. To add to that, they’ve had over 1.5 goals in 79% of their matches.
Aston Villa are averaging 2.71 goals per game, and they’ve had over 1.5 goals scored in 82% of their matches, the third-best success rate in the top flight. Away from home, Villa have had two or more goals scored in 86% of their matches.
Villa have become a goalsy side under Unai Emery and that isn’t something that I expected to be frank. Across their last eight league matches, Villa have average 3.25 goals per game and had over 1.5 in 88% of those.
Ollie Watkins is in incredible form right now. He comes into this having scored the opener during Villa’s 2-0 win at Chelsea, and he’s now found the net in seven of his last nine appearances for Aston Villa.
I’m sure it comes as no surprise, but Watkins has had more shots on target than any other Villa player this season. He’s registered 32, which is 19 more than Leon Bailey who’s second in the list with 13.
Watkins is averaging 2.38 shots per 90 minutes with 1.29 hitting the target. However, he’s had 10 on target across his last five league outings which is of course a couple per game in that period. Impressively, Watkins has had three shots on target in three of his last five.
The last selection in this Midlands bet builder is Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall to make a single foul in the heart of Leicester’s midfield.
Dewsbury-Hall tops the fouls chart for Leicester having brought down his opponents on 31 separate occasions. He’s averaging 1.31 fouls P/90 which is above the level that we’re needing him to be at.
Dewsbury-Hall has committed at least one foul in ten of his last 12 appearances in the Premier League. He’s also committed two or more in five of his last seven.