RB Leipzig vs Manchester City
City are a beast for corners, they average 6.54 per game and have managed 5 or more in 79% of their PL matches this season.
Their Champions League games followed similarly, 6.33 on average and in fact a higher 83% strike rate for 5 or more.
Domestically, Leipzig actually concede more corners at home than they do when playing away. They concede 4.20 on average.
It’s been the same in the Champions League, they ship more at home (4.67) than they do away (3.33).
Domestically, Leipzig have been picking up an average of 1.81 cards per game
including reds and again it’s a more prominent factor in front of their home fans.
They’ve received an average of 2.1 on home soil and have had at least 1 card in 8/10 in the league here.
City draw 2.38 cards per game in the Premier League with 92% of their opponents receiving at least 1 card.
In the group stages, all their away games saw the opponents receive at least 1 card.
Rodri attempts 1.70 shots p/90, with 0.45 of them making it on target.
That’s down to the position of his shots, and he tempts to take a pop from outside the box.
That’s not the only position he can get in for a shot, as he can always be a danger man for set pieces.
As I mentioned above, Man City are expected to get their fair share of corners.
With the quality that City have at their disposal, it would be no surprise to see Leipzig make a number of fouls to break up the play.
Any number of Leipzig players are capable of falling afoul of the referee this evening, and Marcel Halstenberg stands out as one such player who presents solid value for a foul this evening.
The left back is averaging 1.01 fouls P/90 in the Bundesliga, and given his tendency to thrust into tackles (2.39 P/90), there’s every chance that he trips up his man again tonight.
He’ll be up against Riyad Mahrez, and the Algerian will certainly provide a threat as he looks to drive both inside and outside. The City man is fouled 1.98 times P/90, and his 3.28 dribbles P/90 suggests that he’ll look to target Leipzig’s left back consistently.
Mahrez is of course predominantly left footed, and cutting onto his stronger foot, and Halstenberg’s weaker side, could well spell trouble for the german. The added difficulty comes from the fact that Mahrez is absolutely willing to drive down the line. He’s unpredictable, and Halstenberg will need to be at his best to stop him.