Luton vs Man United
Hojlund looks to be finding his feet in the Premier League at long last, and the young Dane has now netted in 5 straight matches.
He also picked up an assists against both Spurs and Wolves.
His SOT numbers have been consistent for a while now. Across his last 7 matches in all comps, he’s had at least 1 SOT in each and a total of 9.
United have looked much sharper recently. They’ve won 3 tricky games on the spin, and should offer plenty in attack here.
Mainoo is a real star in the making. He combines skill and flair with aggression and grit.
Luton will do what Luton do, and turn this in to a real battle, especially in midfield.
That’s where Luton draw their highest foul numbers, in central areas.
Sambi Lakonga and Barkley are expected to start in the engine room, they draw 1.95 and 1.46 fouls.
Tahith Chong may also see some game time, he’s draws a huge 2.97 fouls/90 and operates just off the striker.
Mainoo has fouled in 5 of his last 6 matches and committed 2+ in 2 of those, which were both more physical games against Wolves and Forest.
As mentioned, Barkley draws 1.46 fouls/90.
He’s the most influential player in this Luton side, and United need to shut him down.
With Casemiro back too, I’m sure that’s a job he’ll take on.
With Mainoo (0.93), Fernandes (1.30) and Casemiro (1.50) there’s plenty of players who commit fouls to get one on him.
There’s also McTominay (1.42) and the returning Amrabat (2.06) who could make their mark later on.
Barkley has been fouled in 4 of Luton’s last 5 home games, he drew 2+ in 3 of them.
When Luton gave Arsenal a real running here, going down 4-3, Barkley was fouled 4 times.
This is a great combination of Luton being a bit of a menace from set pieces, and United shipping them for fun.
United have conceded an average of 7.25 corners per game when playing away, which is just mental.
United have conceded at least 4 in every away game they’ve played this season.
Luton have taken an average of 5.57 corners, which rises to a lofty 6.75 when playing at Kenilworth Road. The tight pitch and Luton’s direct style being key factors.
They’ve had 4 or more in 92% of their home matches this season and haven’t dropped below 3 in a single one.