Manchester City vs Newcastle
Man City have caught Newcastle at the perfect time here. The Geordies come into the weekend on the back of a heart-breaking loss at Wembley, as well as some poor form in the Premier League.
Poor form might be a harsh way of wording it, however they’ve won just one of their last seven in the league. With that said, they’re just drawing a lot of matches and have also lost just once in that period.
The issue for Newcastle is that the goals have dried up. They’ve scored just three goals across their last seven, and it’s down to the fact that Almiron and Wilson have lost their shooting boots. They’ve been relying far too heavily on the pair.
With Newcastle struggling to score, and Man City scoring for fun (2.56 P/90) then there should only be one winner if that theme continues.
Man City have won five of their last seven matches in the Premier League, and they’ve won a huge 14 of their last 16 at home.
There’s value in corners in this game as both sides take a large number.
Man City matches average 8.96 corners per match but the vast majority being taken by themselves. 6.52 to be exact.
As for Newcastle, their matches in the Premier League average 11.21 corners with a large 6.91 being taken by themselves.
With hefty corner takers Man City and Newcastle coming together, you’d image that they’d take nine or more between them. They last met at St James’ Park back in August in a match where both sides took five each.
A Rodri shot is cracking value for a bet builder, let me tell you.
Rodri is averaging 1.71 shots per 90 minutes which is more than Jack Grealish just to give it some perspective. And impressively, Rodri has had at least one shot in each of his last nine appearances.
He’s had two or more in five of his last six if you’re feeling adventurous. And it’s not out of the realms of possibility either, he had four shots at St James’ Park when City last faced Newcastle in the Premier League.
2+ fouls from Kieran Trippier is a price that I cannot leave on the shelf. His fouls P/90 stat doesn’t quite reach the 2+ mark, but he’s up against opponents who’ll have him at risk of committing a foul for the full 90 minutes.
He’ll be up against England teammate Jack Grealish who’s averaging a large 4.23 dribbles per 90 minutes with those resulting in a whopping 3.49 fouls drawn P/90. And if it’s not Grealish, it should be another international teammates in Phil Foden who’s good at the same things.
Kieran Tripper has committed two or more fouls in five of his last nine appearances in all competitions. He gave away a couple of fouls in the League Cup final last weekend and he committed one foul and got booked when Newcastle last faced City.