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Hour glass kick off 12:30 08 Apr

Manchester United vs Everton Bet Builder

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Manchester United vs Everton

Calendar 8th April
Football icon kick off 12:30
Football icon Marcus Rashford 2+ Shots on target
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Marcus Rashford has been in fine form this season, particularly since the return of domestic action following the World Cup. After what was a lacklustre performance by his own standards against Newcastle, the forward bounced back against Brentford, with a goal and 2 shots on target to his name.

His performance reflected that of United’s who looked far more comfortable back at Old Trafford. That’s the stage once again for their tie against Everton today, and I’d fully expect them to control proceedings, and for Rashford to shine once more.

The Englishman has registered 2.81 shot P/90 this campaign, a healthy 1.33 of which have been on target. Even more impressive is that prior to drawing a blank against Newcastle, Rashford had registered a shot on target in 12 consecutive Premier League fixtures.

Rashford shots on target in last 5 league games: 2, 0, 1, 1, 3

Everton have looked much the better for the managerial change in January. Sean Dyche has instilled a sense of calm in the side, but even then, they’re prone to a lapse of concentration at the back. They’re where they are in the table for a reason. They concede 4.59 shots on target P/90, and conceded 7 on target in their last away game against Chelsea.

With an xGA of 1.85 P/90 away from home, United should be able to exploit Everton, and I expect Rashford to be at the forefront of those efforts. He managed 2 at home in a dominant display on Wednesday, and I think he can repeat that.

Football icon Everton Over 1.5 Cards
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A really generous price here for a selection that’s landed in over three quarters of Everton’s games this season. You only have to watch them to understand what this side is all about. They’re scrapping for their lives at the bottom of the table, they work hard, and have perhaps the most industrious midfield trio in the league.

Everton average 2.21 cards P/90, and that comes as no surprise when you look into the stats of some of their players. The likes of Onana and Gueye in the midfield are averaging 1.76, and 1.44 fouls P/90, whilst defensive colleagues Tarkowski and Godfrey are averaging 1.21 and 1.19 P/90.

Again, it’s evidence of the fight and the bite in this side, and it often translates to cards. They’ve received at least 2 in 8 of their last 9, and I expect that trend to continue here.

Everton cards received in last 5 league games: 1, 2, 2, 5, 2

Football icon James Tarkowski 1+ fouls
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I mentioned on Monday that I think Tarkowski always goes under the radar when it comes to fouls, and I think 1.44 is cracking value here once again.

Strong in the tackle, yet often rash, Tarkowski is willing to mix it with just about anyone. He’ll use his physicality as much as he can, but is often guilty of over exerting himself.

He’s averaged 1.22 fouls P/90 so far this season, but has given away at least 1 in 10 of his last 11, and 2 or more in 4 of his last 5. Given that Everton are likely to come under a lot of pressure from United, I wouldn’t be shocked to see him fall afoul of the referee again here.

Tarkowski fouls in last 5 league games: 2, 3, 1, 2, 2

There are plenty of situations in which a foul could arise here. If the fleet of foot Marcus Rashford starts up top, as he did on Wednesday, then Tarkowski will have to contend with a player fouled 0.74 P/90. If it’s Weghorst up top, then he’ll be drawn into a physical battle with the Dutchman, fouled 1.03 times P/90.

There are some other potential influencing factors here as well. Tarkowski is likely to line up on the left of the centre back pairing. Antony is fouled 1.41 times P/90, and could force the Everton man into some uncomfortable situations.

Football icon Idrissa Gueye 1+ fouls
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Idrissa Gueye seems like a player reborn under Sean Dyche. He worlds tirelessly, is tenacious in the tackle, and exhibits everything that his manager wants from his side.

The important thing here is that he really is the protector of the Everton backline. Whilst the likes of Onana and the suspended Doucoure are often given some sort of license to roam and press, Gueye is far more conservative in his play.

The senegalese midfielder commits 1.44 fouls P/90 as a result of this, bringing people down as they attempt to have a run at his defensive colleagues.

Gueye fouls in last 5 league games: 1, 3, 0, 1, 0

The opponents will make for a good challenge here as well. United’s midfield options such as Sabitzer, Fred, and Fernandes are fouled 1.46, 1.44, and 1.11 times P/90. With United likely to control the game, Gueye will be put under heaps of pressure. I expect him to foul as a result.

Stake £5
Potential Returns £27
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