Newcastle vs Man United
Rashford has had a phenomenal season and was on target when these two met in the Carabao Cup final.
He tops the United shooting charts, averaging 1.35 SOT/90. He’s had at least 1 shot on target in 22 of his last 25 games. In 2 of the games he blanked, he played just 29 & 33 minutes.
His devastating pace and desire to run in behind as well as his direct nature and ability from range makes him a dream for shot related bets. He can craft his own chances, as well as being on the end of others.
He’s the real standout for this selection in this game, I think the 1.44 price is pretty generous.
Fresh from an incredible international break, the time is now for Scott McTominay to get a run in this United side.
He was a devastating weapon for Scotland in the week gone by, he came off the bench to net twice against Cyprus and then scored in a historic victory over Spain.
McTominay actually used to be a striker, when he played in the United youth team. He’s got fantastic shooting technique, both from range and in the box. He’ll make those late runs and will pose a threat. He’s also a fantastic arial threat, so even just getting a flick on a free kick might be all we need here.
He averages 0.73 shots/90, but does tend to get 1 off when starting games as opposed to the minutes he’s often brought in to see games out.
He had 1 vs Fulham last time out and considering the confidence he’ll have flowing through his veins, I’d expect him to try his luck given any slight opportunity.
Trippier has been a bit of a foul machine lately. He’s always keen for a battle and won’t give up on anything.
Rashford as a direct opponent will cause him problems. Especially if Trippier is caught higher up the pitch, which is a risk with how Newcastle utilise his skill set.
Trippier averages 1.38 fouls/90. He’s made 12 across his last 4 Newcastle games, which includes 2 in the final against United. In their last game against Forest, Tripps made 4 fouls.
He’s very consistent in this market; making at least 1 foul in 11 of his last 12 Newcastle games. The only one he blanked in was the 2-0 defeat to Liverpool, which was also the only one of the last 12 where he didn’t play a full 90 minutes.
Big Wout may not be the long term option at United, neither is he every fans cup of tea but he is effective in what he brings to the team and what he’s there to do.
He’s there to hold up play, press and help United in transition. Which he is very good at and he had one of his better games against Newcastle at Wembley; he also made a foul that game.
Common theme that for the big man, he’s made at least 1 foul across his last 8 Man United appearances.
He even continued his foul rampage in to the international break. He made 2 against France and even managed to make 2 against a Gibraltar side who didn’t have a single shot.
He’s prone to fouls not only from pressing but also when his side are in possession. His huge 6″6 frame causes him to over exert on opponents sometimes and he often gives away a foul when going up for a challenge in the air.
I think this game is very evenly matched. United were superior at Wembley but the Toon home crowd is a real leveller.
Newcastle carry serious threats in the likes of Isak, ASM and Wilson. Whilst the creativity of Bruno Guimaraes knits them together nicely.
United’s away games produce far more goals than their home fixtures. The Red Devil’s see an average of 3.38 goals per game when on the road and a BTTS strike rate of 54%.
The Magpies have scored in 10/13 home fixtures and roared on by their passionate support, seeking revenge for the Cup final defeat, they’ll give their all here.
United are far from convincing defensively and the absence of Casemiro is a huge factor; that’s likely what’s pushed the hosts in to favourites.
This could be massive for Bruno Guimaraes; their most creative player. Who should be able to get more touches in more dangerous areas without being tracked by his fellow countryman.
United showed in the final that they really do have Newcastle’s number from an offensive standpoint. The Toon lack mobility at the back and with Rashford and co, United can definitely exploit that.