League One outfit Sheffield Wednesday will be hoping to cause one of the upsets of the round when they take on Newcastle this evening. Currently sat 2nd in the table, Darren Moore’s men have won 3 on the bounce, and will show plenty of grit against a quality Newcastle team. Eddie Howe is expected to give opportunities to a number of fringe players here, with the likes of Guimaraes and Joelinton dropping to the bench. Still, with players such as Saint-Maximin, Longstaff, and Willock, amongst others, Newcastle will prove a stern test. Wednesday will need to be at their best to get anything from the game
My value selections reflect thoughts, and you can find them, as well as a stats pack for the game, below.
Allan saint-maximin 1+ shots on target: 1.66 (4/6)
A good price given the stats. With players likely to be rested Saint-Maximin should find a wide berth in Eddie Howe’s starting XI with his name on it. Everyone is aware of the quality that the Frenchman possesses, and although selfish at times, it’s a trait that bodes well for shots.
He’s averaged 1.08 shots on target P/90 in the league from 2.59 shots. Against a weaker opponent in Sheffield Wednesday, who concede 3.52 shots on target P/90 in league one, I would expect ASM to find chances to test the keeper.
Sheffield Wednesday 2+ cards: 1.80 (4/5)
Despite Sheffield Wednesday clearly being one of the stronger sides in League One, they’re still averaging 1.64 cards per game, with 39 yellows, and 2 reds, in 25 games. Against a Newcastle outfit who sit 3rd in the Premier League, I would expect this number to be eclipsed.
Newcastle’s opponents are receiving 2.33 cards per game, and with the likes of Guimaraes, and ASM amongst others, at their disposal, players such as George Byers and Will Vaulks (2.04, and 1.79 fouls P/90) are just 2 of many who could be found wanting. Cards are likely as Wednesday look to stifle their Premier League opponents.
George Byers to be booked: 3.75 (11/4)
There are a number of candidates for a Sheffield Wednesday card, but George Byers stands out here. The midfield man has committed 2.04 fouls P/90 (2 yellows) in League One, and he could be in for a long afternoon against some Premier League regulars.
Sean Longstaff and Joe Willock are expected to start, and are fouled a combined 1.82 times P/90. Throw the likes of Guimaraes and Joelinton into the mix for potential sub appearances (3.00, and 1.01 fouls drawn P/90), and even young Eliot Anderson, fouled 7 times in just 100 league minutes, and Byers has a tall task on his hands in winning the midfield battle. He’ll do well to avoid a card.
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