Snowball Bet 1

We look set for a goals fest in Germany, as Leipzig travel to Bremen.

The visitors games average 3.53 goals with a massive 80% seeing 3 or more scored.

Across their last 8, there’s been an average of 3.88, 7 have had over 2.5 and not a single one has gone below 1.5.

Werder games are always entertaining, as they were last season too.

Their matches average 3.40 goals, with 67% landing for over 2.5 backers.

At home, that percentage rises to 75% and none of their home games have anything less than 2 goals.

There’s a lot of firepower in these sides, especially with the visitors.

Lois Openda had netted 10 goals & set a further 4 up in just 15 matches.

In any other season, where you didn’t have the ridiculous numbers of Kane & Guirassy, I feel Openda would be getting much more attention.

He’s also got 4 in 6 in the Champions League.

Bremen have netted 22 times this season. That’s more than Freiburg (19), who are 8 places above them.

Marvin Ducksch’s 7 goals have been the heaviest contributor.

Europa League winner Rafael Borre has emerged as his partner now too, and was on target in the last game; a 2-2 draw with Gladbach.

Bremen’s issue is their inability to defend, and if Leipzig do cover this line by themselves it wouldn’t be a huge shock.

Bremen average an xGA of 1.97, and their defence ranks as the 4th worst in the league in terms of goals conceded.

Leipzig are really consistent in the corner market.

They average 6.27 corners, and the difference between home and away is very minimal, which often isn’t the case.

They average 6.14 on the road.

This selection has landed in 86% of their away games.

In fact, they have had 5 or more in 86% of games on their travels.

That average is indicative of how many corners they do get. Sometimes these averages can be propped up by 1/2 big hauls, but not in this case.

Bremen concede plenty of corners too.

They’ve conceded 5.67 per game on average, 5.38 at home.

They’ve conceded 3 or more in 86% of home games.

I’d expect Leipzig to have the majority of the ball and do a lot of the running here, as they’re definitely the stronger side.

However, Bremen’s threat in attack could see RBL needing to chase this game at certain points.

That would be a perfect scenario for both elements of this bet.