USG v Mechelen
If there was one complete mismatch fixture on Sunday, then this is it.
USG are flying. They’re top of the league and ahead by 6 points.
They’ve won 11 of their last 12 games, drawing 1.
USG are averaging 2.41 points per game, scoring at a rate of 2.35 goals per game with an xG of 2.10.
Basically, they’re in unstoppable form.
I can’t see how the visitors, Mechelen, are going to stop USG’s current streak.
Mechelen, who are 10th, have a terrible record away from home. They only avg 1 point per game.
They’ve only managed to pick up 4 points in the last 15 available in away games. No surprise considering they’re scoring at a low rate of 0.94 goals p/90.
It’d take a major upset not to see USG walk away with the 3 points.
Chaves v Casa Pia
Here we have 2 teams with very good match records for over 1.5 goals.
13 in 13 (100%) of Chaves’s games have ended in over 1.5 goals scored. That’s the joint highest in the league.
They’re generally on the receiving end of the bigger scorelines but they do often contribute to the scoreline. They’ve scored at least a goal in 83% of home games.
Their problem is that they’ve conceded a goal in 100% of their games.
Casa Pia are also struggling in this league. They concede on avg 1.23 goals p/90. They don’t score a lot but do manage on avg 1 goal p/90 per away game.
Moreirense v Portimonense
6th place Moreirense welcome 11th placed Portimonense for what will be quite an important fixture, for different reasons.
Moreirense are 7 points away from European competition places and Portimonense are only 5 points away from the relegation places.
Moreirense haven’t lost at home in 8 matches and Portimonense are winless in their last 3 away matches.
Portimonense concede on avg 2.43 goals p/90 away from home and don’t have a single clean sheet in away games.
Moreirense don’t concede a lot (0.85 p/90) so between this and both teams forms, I can only see this going one way.
Ajax v PEC Zwolle
After a disastrous start to the season which saw Ajax bottom of the league, they’re finally beginning to find their groove and have risen up the league table to 5th.
Ajax have now won 6 of their last 7 fixtures, drawing 1.
They’ve scored an impressive 18 goals in that run too (avg 2.5 goals scored p/90).
Over the course of the season, they’re averaging 2.2 goals scored p/90.
86% of Ajax matches have finished over 2.5 goals.
Zwolle have found consistency a problem this season but are still holding their own.
They score on avg 1.4 goals p/90.
87% of Zwolle’s away games have finished in over 2.5 goals scored.
Bayer Leverkusen v Eintracht Frankfurt
Leverkusen are a completely transformed team this season. Many thought they’d drop off by now but, here they are. Still top of the league and with a 4 point gap.
Leverkusen are scoring on avg 2.79 p/90. 2nd highest in the league and only bettered by Bayern as you would expect.
At home however, this goes up to an incredible 4.50 goals scored p/90 when playing at home. Their xG is 1.97.
12 of 14 Leverkusen games have finished in 02.5 goals scored.
Frankfurt themselves are exceeding expectations.They’re in 7th place and aiming for those European places.
Frankfurt score on avg 1.57 goals p/90 in away games and concede 1.29 p/90 in away games.
Frankfurt have scored at least a goal in 86% of games and conceded in 72% of their games.