West Ham vs Brighton
When Brighton are playing, you know that there’s going to be goals. Games involving them average 3.74 goals per 90. And West Ham’s record is just as enticing, 3.32 goals per game.That’s because both sides score and concede a tonne of goals.
So all eyes will be on each team’s attacking lineup, and the odds are simply too good to pass up on Pedro bagging 2 or more shots on target.
He’s been in some incredible form lately, racking up seven goals in his last nine games in all competitions. And has managed two or more shots on target in five of his last seven.
He’s also Brighton’s go to penalty taker and West Ham are conceding 5.05 shots on target per game on average – the fifth highest in the league and on par with some of the worst teams in the league.
3.30 for 2+ Pedro SOTs is a massive price for a player that can hardly put a foot wrong at the moment.
Brighton haven’t kept a single clean sheet all season. That’s an incredible record when you consider it’s January, and we’re now 19 games into the new season.
West Ham will have plenty of chances here and will probably bag themselves a goal or two and there’s only really one man to back in this situation: Jarrod Bowen.
He’s scored 11 goals in the 18 games he’s played this season and has picked up 2 or more shots on target on eight occasions – including in West Ham’s reverse fixture against Brighton.
Bookies are giving odds of 2.88 for Bowen to have two chances on target which seems too juicy given Brighton’s defensive record.
This is the easiest pick of the night. Alvarez averages 1.37 fouls per game and in 15 games in which he’s played over 45 minutes, he’s picked up 1 or more fouls in 11 of these.
This includes him racking up three fouls against Brighton in the reverse fixture.
He plays across West Ham’s midfield and could come up against any of Brighton’s attacking lineup. Most notably, Evan Ferguson and Joao Pedro who are fouled 1.63 and 0.94 times per game.
Brighton’s defensive woes got even worse after Lewis Dunk picked up his fifth yellow card of the season against Spurs and will now be suspended for this fixture.
18 year old Jack Hinshelwood has been called up to fill some of the gaps, but he can be a bit of a reckless tackler.
In the eight games he’s played in this season, he’s picked up 11 fouls in total – this averages to 1.86 fouls per 90 minutes.
At right-back, his main opponents will be Benrahma who is fouled 0.98 times per game on average. But he should move across the defensive line and find himself up against Bowen, Ward-Prowse, and others are various points as well.