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Hour glass kick off 20:00 29 Jan

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KRC Genk vs RFC Seraing

Calendar 29th January
Football icon kick off 20:00
Football icon Genk to win and over 2.5 goals
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It’s top of the table vs bottom of the table in this Belgian Pro League clash. Genk find themselves 40 points ahead of Seraing, and should comfortably win in what I expect to be a match full of goals.

For starters, Genk have won 18 of their 21 games this season, losing 2 and drawing 1. They’re 3 points ahead of second placed Union Saint-Gilloise, and even have 2 games in hand. The league leaders have scored in all but 2 of their games this season, and similar goalscoring exploits should see them to victory.

An xG of 2.00 P/90 should worry Seraing, and Genk will likely create consistent chances at the Cegeka Arena, a place where the home side are yet to lose this season.

Seraing are currently 5 points off safety, and the bottom of the table side have won just once in their last 12. They’ve conceded in each of these 12 games as well, a stats that should breed confidence in the Genk ranks.

Seraing’s xGA of 1.78 P/90 also suggests that the hosts will find ample opportunity for shots.

Average goals per game look relatively strong here. Genk matches average 3.38 goals, whilst Seraing games see 2.77 goals on average.

This match is also a case of best vs worst attack in the league. Genk have managed to net on 52 occasions (2.48 goals per game) this season, whilst Seraing have only bagged 21 goals themselves.

However, defensively neither side are particularly sound which bodes well for over 2.5 goals. Despite having the best defence in the league, Genk have only kept 6 clean sheets in their 21 fixtures thus far. Seraing have conceded 40 goals in their 22 games, keeping just 1 clean sheet.

Only relegation threatened Oostende can boast a better record for over 2.5 goals than Genk. That selection has landed in 75% of the league leaders’ fixtures this campaign. The same selection has landed in 55% of Seraing’s fixtures, but with their poor defence and Genk’s lethal attack there’s every chance that this comes in.

Genk are more than capable of carrying this selection on their own, but don’t be surprised if Seraing pop up with a goal from nowhere.

Stake £51
Potential Returns £86
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