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Super Sunday’s early afternoon kick-off sees West Ham United and Nottingham Forest take place in a fascinating mid-table clash.
David Moyes’ side are enduring the same issues they had early last season as they match up Premier League, EFL Cup and Europa League football. They started bright with impressive victories over Chelsea and Brighton and Hove Albion but recent losses against Aston Villa, Olympiakos, Everton and Brentford have left Moyes questioned once more.
Their fixture list provides opportunity for Steve Cooper’s Nottingham Forest side and they come into this game buoyed by an impressive victory over high-flying Aston Villa. That was their first win since beating Chelsea in early September but they have only lost two of their last eight games – vs Manchester City and Liverpool.
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WEST HAM VS FOREST PREDICTED LINEUPS
Moyes likely to revert back
David Moyes was missing Kurt Zouma last weekend and then named an XI that featured neither Lucas Paqueta or Edson Alvarez. The pair returned for Thursday night’s impressive victory over Olympiakos in the UEFA Europa Conference League having had their absences felt during last weekend’s 3-2 loss at Brentford. That means Said Benrahma and Mohammed Kudus are likely to make way, unless Moyes decides to finally see what life without Michail Antonio looks like.
Forest unlikely to change
Steve Cooper has been prone to some chopping and changing but their performance against a very strong Aston Villa side was impressive enough that changes are unlikely as they travel to West Ham. That means Willy Boly and Serge Aurier remaining on the bench while Danilo’s return to action can be considered. Callum Hudson-Odoi, Chris Wood and Divock Origi remain absent so Anthony Elanga and Taiwo Awoniyi should get further opportunity to establish themselves.
WEST HAM VS FOREST TEAM STATS
West Ham the great entertainers?
We associate David Moyes with being cautious in his management approach but his side are entertaining this year, being more expansive in their play. Both sides have scored in nine of their Premier League outings, the Hammers creating 1 xG in nine matches while conceding more than 1 xG in ten – they’ve conceded a whopping 14 or more shots in 9. They’ve also conceded seven or more corners in 7 of their 11 matches this season.
Forest underlying numbers unimpressive
Steve Cooper is getting a tune out of his squad but the underlying details are expected for a team with so many new players. They’ve managed more than 1 xG in one of their last fixtures vs lowly Luton Town – while conceding 1.3 xG in seven of their last nine. They concede a lot of corners – six or more on occasions – while cards a regular feature – 17 of the 22 teams to compete in Forest matches picking up two or more yellow cards.
WEST HAM VS FOREST SHOTS AND SHOTS ON TARGET stats
Bowen striking for fun
Jarrod Bowen is having quite the run of form this year. We’ll discuss his goalscoring exploits below but there is a reason he is getting so many goals – he’s getting a lot of chances. The England winger has had two or more shots in 9 of his 11 matches this season and is making the most of it, finding the target in nine of those. Unsurprisingly, James Ward-Prowse is following up with a shot in 10 of his 13 matches in all competitions for West Ham.
Value amongst Forest midfield
Let’s start with Morgan Gibbs-White, seen as the key man for Forest’s attack. He’s had 2 or more shots in over half of his league matches this season and can be backed at 1.67 to do it again. And new man Nicolas Dominguez has quickly established himself in the XI and is 1.3 to have a shot – he’s had a shot in every game he has played.
WEST HAM VS FOREST GOALS AND ASSISTS stats
Bowen the man for West Ham
“Where’s Raheem Sterling?” they ask when it comes to the England squad. Gareth Southgate refutes it. He’s got Jarrod Bowen. A man with eight goal contributions in the Premier League, and a player competing in Europe. Bowen is having a stormer of a campaign for an inconsistent side, contributing in 7 of his 11 matches and he can backed to do it again in your West Ham vs Forest bet builder at 2.1.
Toffolo stepping up
Harry Toffolo hasn’t had an easy ride since stepping into the Premier League with Nottingham Forest but he’s making the left-back position his own with three assists in five appearances, including two against Villa last time out. He could be a bet builder booster at 6.5 to assist again. Anthony Elanga has had a positive start and is worth looking into at 3.6 to score or assist.
West hAM cards and fouls stats
Emerson back for a battle
It surprised me that Emerson was a useful piece on Betfair for this game. After all, this is a left-back with six bookings and 9 fouls in 10 Premier League matches to his name – he’s 1.57 to commit a foul this weekend. Lucas Paqueta isn’t a similar price for obvious reasons – he’s similarly committed a foul in 9 of 10 matches but two or more in five of those. He loves a tackle, that lad.
Emerson is likely to be up against Morgan Gibbs-White or the surging Ola Aina here in his battles. Gibbs-White has been fouled in 10 of 11 appearances in the league, being decked twice or more in 6 of those. Aina, meanwhile, has been fouled in five of his last six starts. Or perhaps Anthony Elanga will fancy the right-side on occasion – he’s been fouled in four of his five starts.
forest cards and fouls stats
A number of Forest players enjoying a foul or two
Oriel Mangala failed to foul an opponent for the first time last weekend. A sense that’s learning? Perhaps not. Villa weren’t at their best. He’s already picked up four yellow cards this season and will want to stop James Ward-Prowse delivering here. Meanwhile, his midfield partner Sangare has four yellows to his name already while Morgan Gibbs-White has fouled in 8 of his 11 Premier League appearances.
They find themselves up against a West Ham side that aren’t afraid to get physical, particularly in wide areas where Lucas Paqueta and Jarrod Bowen reside. Paqueta is one of the most fouled players in the division, drawing a foul in all ten appearances and two or more in seven of those. Bowen has been fouled in 7 of his 11 appearances while powerful forward has been fouled in eight of his.
wEST HAM VS FOREST BET BUILDER TIPS AND PICKS OF THE PACK
We have put together an interesting four-leg West Ham vs Nottingham Forest Bet Builder for you to have a look at.
West Ham vs Nottingham Forest
12th November
kick off 14:00 West Ham to have 4 or more corners
West Ham have had 4 or more corners in 9 of 11 league matches
Nottingham Forest have conceded 4 or more corners in 9 of 11 league matches
West Ham to collect 2 or more yellow cardsWest Ham have collected 2 or more yellow cards in 8 of 11 matches
Forest have drawn 2 or more yellow cards in 8 of 11 matches
Jarrod Bowen to have 1 or more shots on targetBowen has managed a shot on target in 9 of his 11 league starts
Nottingham Forest have conceded 13 or more shots in 7 of 11 league matches
Emerson to commit 1 or more foulsEmerson has committed a foul in 9 of his 10 league starts
Morgan Gibbs-White has drawn a foul in 10 of 11 appearances & 2 or more in 6 of those
Anthony Elanga has been fouled in 4 of 5 league starts
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